TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037627
Played Aug 29Finished
Andrii Droshchynskyi
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117911611117511
Oleksandr Blashkun
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:47 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeAndrii Droshchynskyi to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Droshchynskyi above · Oleksandr Blashkun below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 89 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Andrii Droshchynskyi at 66.9%
89 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Droshchynskyi 7–2 Oleksandr Blashkun Oleksandr Blashkun has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:47What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Droshchynskyi 1687 vs Blashkun 1620
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Droshchynskyi 60% vs Blashkun 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Droshchynskyi 70% vs Blashkun 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Droshchynskyi -1 · Blashkun +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Droshchynskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blashkun form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDroshchynskyi 1.44 / Blashkun 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Droshchynskyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13037627
Droshchynskyi1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 65 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it88% 43 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it72% 52 of 72
Blashkun2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 33 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeDroshchynskyi7wins
AwayBlashkun2wins
3 of 9 to a deciderDroshchynskyi leads 7–2, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDroshchynskyi71.4%5 of 7
AwayBlashkunn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Droshchynskyi7Blashkun2n = 9Droshchynskyi took 7 of 9
S2Droshchynskyi8Blashkun1n = 9Droshchynskyi took 8 of 9
S3Droshchynskyi7Blashkun2n = 9Droshchynskyi took 7 of 9
S4Droshchynskyi2Blashkun2n = 4split evenly
S5Droshchynskyi1Blashkun2n = 3Blashkun took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home556%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricDroshchynskyiBlashkunD − BBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match39.831.4+8.4per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDroshchynskyiBlashkunBasisWin rate · lifetime109 / 192 vs 85 / 17856.8%47.8%109 / 192 vs 85 / 178Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DroshchynskyiDroshchynskyi 1.44/Blashkun 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Droshchynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Blashkun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 8 · 10:40A. Droshchynskyi—1111123O. Blashkun—86100
LJul 18 · 13:40A. Droshchynskyi—111171042O. Blashkun—641112113
LJul 5 · 07:30A. Droshchynskyi—11119792O. Blashkun—771111113
WJun 21 · 07:00A. Droshchynskyi—1111113O. Blashkun—6390
WJun 14 · 09:30A. Droshchynskyi—7111114113O. Blashkun—111381252
WJun 7 · 09:30A. Droshchynskyi—1114113O. Blashkun—81290
WMay 17 · 10:05A. Droshchynskyi—1116113O. Blashkun—91490
WApr 12 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi—1111113O. Blashkun—3750
WApr 5 · 07:30A. Droshchynskyi—71111113O. Blashkun—111761
A. Droshchynskyi10
LSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113LSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 08:00A. Droshchynskyi1.4011511133O. Varlamov2.754111111WSep 6 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn1.61761141A. Droshchynskyi2.2011115113WSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114103A. Droshchynskyi2.20731121WSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:10A. Droshchynskyi1.44111162O. Varlamov2.639860WSep 5 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.509760WAug 29 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.751210671A. Droshchynskyi1.40101211113
O. Blashkun10
LAug 30 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.40561171Y. Makovka2.7511117113WAug 30 · 09:00O. Blashkun1.50121111113V. Merzlikin2.501013841LAug 30 · 07:30O. Blashkun1.44131112482R. Sopivnyk2.631191411113WAug 30 · 06:00O. Blashkun2.251211113O. Zhyrnov1.5710890LAug 30 · 04:30O. Blashkun1.61115691Y. Holoborodko2.2051111113WAug 29 · 17:40O. Blashkun1.30811911113Y. Makovka3.4011611572WAug 29 · 13:40V. Merzlikin2.204980O. Blashkun1.611111113WAug 29 · 12:40O. Blashkun2.6314117113O. Zhyrnov1.441251151LAug 29 · 11:40O. Varlamov2.10111163113O. Blashkun1.6768111142WAug 16 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.6111119113Y. Bondarenko2.20631181
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