TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043930
Played Aug 30Finished
Oleksandr Blashkun
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101113118114––
Valerii Merzlikin
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:39 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Blashkun to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Blashkun above · Valerii Merzlikin below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 80 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Oleksandr Blashkun at 66.5%
80 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Blashkun 7–3 Valerii Merzlikin Valerii Merzlikin has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:39What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Blashkun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Blashkun
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blashkun 1645 vs Merzlikin 1520
Blashkun
Correct
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blashkun 60% vs Merzlikin 40%
Blashkun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blashkun 60% vs Merzlikin 40%
Blashkun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Blashkun -1 · Merzlikin -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Blashkun)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlashkun 1.50 / Merzlikin 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Blashkun)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13043930
Blashkun1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 34 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it83% 15 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it70% 26 of 37
Merzlikin2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog50% won 38 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back31% 12 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlashkun7wins
AwayMerzlikin3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBlashkun leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlashkun85.7%6 of 7
AwayMerzlikin66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blashkun7Merzlikin3n = 10Blashkun took 7 of 10
S2Blashkun6Merzlikin4n = 10Blashkun took 6 of 10
S3Blashkun7Merzlikin3n = 10Blashkun took 7 of 10
S4Blashkun3Merzlikin3n = 6split evenly
S5Blashkun2Merzlikin1n = 3Blashkun took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlashkunMerzlikinB − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.933.8+6.1per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlashkunMerzlikinBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 184 vs 277 / 62948.4%44%89 / 184 vs 277 / 629Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlashkunBlashkun 1.50/Merzlikin 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Blashkun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Blashkun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 09:00O. Blashkun—121111113V. Merzlikin—1013841
WAug 29 · 13:40O. Blashkun—1111113V. Merzlikin—4980
LAug 15 · 12:10O. Blashkun—101171172V. Merzlikin—126114113
WAug 13 · 12:10O. Blashkun—1111113V. Merzlikin—7750
WAug 8 · 17:10O. Blashkun—1111203V. Merzlikin—53180
WJun 20 · 14:40O. Blashkun—811411113V. Merzlikin—11811782
LApr 5 · 06:00O. Blashkun—11612111V. Merzlikin—81114133
LMar 22 · 10:00O. Blashkun—7111191V. Merzlikin—11134113
WMar 21 · 14:10O. Blashkun—111011923V. Merzlikin—81291102
WFeb 26 · 12:10O. Blashkun—1112113V. Merzlikin—51080
O. Blashkun10
LAug 30 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.40561171Y. Makovka2.7511117113LAug 30 · 07:30O. Blashkun1.44131112482R. Sopivnyk2.631191411113WAug 30 · 06:00O. Blashkun2.251211113O. Zhyrnov1.5710890LAug 30 · 04:30O. Blashkun1.61115691Y. Holoborodko2.2051111113WAug 29 · 17:40O. Blashkun1.30811911113Y. Makovka3.4011611572WAug 29 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.4411961152O. Blashkun2.63711117113WAug 29 · 13:40V. Merzlikin2.204980O. Blashkun1.611111113WAug 29 · 12:40O. Blashkun2.6314117113O. Zhyrnov1.441251151LAug 29 · 11:40O. Varlamov2.10111163113O. Blashkun1.6768111142WAug 16 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.6111119113Y. Bondarenko2.20631181
V. Merzlikin10
WAug 30 · 11:00V. Merzlikin1.8312816113Y. Holoborodko1.8310111471LAug 30 · 08:00V. Merzlikin2.5013870O. Zhyrnov1.501511113WAug 30 · 07:00Y. Makovka2.7511123292V. Merzlikin1.409101111113WAug 30 · 05:30V. Merzlikin1.91111710113R. Sopivnyk1.806151271LAug 29 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.751210671A. Droshchynskyi1.40101211113LAug 29 · 15:10V. Merzlikin2.634670O. Varlamov1.44111193LAug 29 · 13:40V. Merzlikin2.204980O. Blashkun1.611111113WAug 29 · 12:10V. Merzlikin1.44951111113Y. Makovka2.6311114852LAug 29 · 10:40V. Merzlikin2.255520O. Zhyrnov1.571111113WAug 27 · 17:10Y. Volkov2.00119681V. Merzlikin1.7381111113
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