TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13023181
Played Aug 27Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118911611811––
Valerii Merzlikin
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:58 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeYurii Volkov to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Valerii Merzlikin below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Yurii Volkov at 54.3%
75 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:58What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Merzlikin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1688 vs Merzlikin 1573
Volkov
Wrong
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 20% vs Merzlikin 60%
Merzlikin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 60% vs Merzlikin 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov -4 · Merzlikin -1
Volkov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volkov form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 2.00 / Merzlikin 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Volkov)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13023181
Volkov2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 60 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back31% 18 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Merzlikin1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite46% won 17 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it67% 12 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovMerzlikinBasisWin rate · lifetime425 / 786 vs 274 / 62454.1%43.9%425 / 786 vs 274 / 624Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolkovVolkov 2.00/Merzlikin 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Volkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Merzlikin won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Y. Volkov10
LSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123WSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113WSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.679111111113Y. Kovshun2.1011136912LSep 4 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.2011381192R. Sopivnyk1.61611114113LSep 4 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.6112811752A. Troyan2.201011811113LSep 4 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.3691211872O. Karpenko3.001110211113
V. Merzlikin10
WAug 30 · 11:00V. Merzlikin1.8312816113Y. Holoborodko1.8310111471LAug 30 · 09:00O. Blashkun1.50121111113V. Merzlikin2.501013841LAug 30 · 08:00V. Merzlikin2.5013870O. Zhyrnov1.501511113WAug 30 · 07:00Y. Makovka2.7511123292V. Merzlikin1.409101111113WAug 30 · 05:30V. Merzlikin1.91111710113R. Sopivnyk1.806151271LAug 29 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.751210671A. Droshchynskyi1.40101211113LAug 29 · 15:10V. Merzlikin2.634670O. Varlamov1.44111193LAug 29 · 13:40V. Merzlikin2.204980O. Blashkun1.611111113WAug 29 · 12:10V. Merzlikin1.44951111113Y. Makovka2.6311114852LAug 29 · 10:40V. Merzlikin2.255520O. Zhyrnov1.571111113
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