TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12440640
Played Aug 16Finished
Oleksandr Blashkun
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116113911118––
Yurii Bondarenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Blashkun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Blashkun above · Yurii Bondarenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 70 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Oleksandr Blashkun at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Blashkun 2–0 Yurii Bondarenko Yurii Bondarenko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:52What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Blashkun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Blashkun 1618 vs Bondarenko 1612
Blashkun
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blashkun 40% vs Bondarenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blashkun 40% vs Bondarenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blashkun -1 · Bondarenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Blashkun) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blashkun form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlashkun 1.61 / Bondarenko 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Blashkun)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12440640
Blashkun1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 35 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it71% 27 of 38
Bondarenko2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 4 of 10
Down 0–1, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBlashkun2wins
AwayBondarenko0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderBlashkun leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBlashkunBondarenkoBlashkun − BondarenkoBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match43.535.5+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlashkunBondarenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 174 vs 51 / 9347.1%54.8%82 / 174 vs 51 / 93Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlashkunBlashkun 1.61/Bondarenko 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Blashkun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Blashkun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 9 · 07:00O. Blashkun—11911113Y. Bondarenko—911661
WJul 5 · 10:30O. Blashkun—111148113Y. Bondarenko—65111162
O. Blashkun10
LAug 30 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.40561171Y. Makovka2.7511117113WAug 30 · 09:00O. Blashkun1.50121111113V. Merzlikin2.501013841LAug 30 · 07:30O. Blashkun1.44131112482R. Sopivnyk2.631191411113WAug 30 · 06:00O. Blashkun2.251211113O. Zhyrnov1.5710890LAug 30 · 04:30O. Blashkun1.61115691Y. Holoborodko2.2051111113WAug 29 · 17:40O. Blashkun1.30811911113Y. Makovka3.4011611572WAug 29 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.4411961152O. Blashkun2.63711117113WAug 29 · 13:40V. Merzlikin2.204980O. Blashkun1.611111113WAug 29 · 12:40O. Blashkun2.6314117113O. Zhyrnov1.441251151LAug 29 · 11:40O. Varlamov2.10111163113O. Blashkun1.6768111142
Y. Bondarenko10
WSep 2 · 16:40O. Karpenko2.63123661Y. Bondarenko1.44101111113WSep 2 · 15:40Y. Bondarenko2.501111113Y. Holoborodko1.507870WSep 2 · 14:40Y. Bondarenko1.50812119113D. Habrelyan2.50111091152LSep 2 · 13:10Y. Bondarenko1.67451191O. Zhyrnov2.1011119113LSep 2 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko1.73111071162M. Tiutiunnyk2.00412118113LAug 26 · 15:59Y. Holoborodko1.50111178113Y. Bondarenko2.5077111172WAug 26 · 14:10O. Varlamov2.50117961Y. Bondarenko1.5061111113LAug 26 · 13:10Y. Bondarenko1.44511101162D. Habrelyan2.63116126113WAug 26 · 12:10O. Zhyrnov1.837790Y. Bondarenko1.831111113LAug 26 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko2.2010101181Y. Holoborodko1.6112128113
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