TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060730
Played Sep 2Finished
Yurii Bondarenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411511119911––
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Bondarenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYurii Bondarenko above · Oleksandr Zhyrnov below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 71 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Yurii Bondarenko at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Bondarenko 4–4 Oleksandr Zhyrnov Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:33What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Bondarenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bondarenko 1596 vs Zhyrnov 1699
Zhyrnov
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondarenko 40% vs Zhyrnov 80%
Zhyrnov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondarenko 40% vs Zhyrnov 80%
Zhyrnov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondarenko -2 · Zhyrnov +4
Zhyrnov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bondarenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhyrnov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondarenko 1.67 / Zhyrnov 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bondarenko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13060730
Bondarenko1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 14 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Zhyrnov2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 74 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back20% 19 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeBondarenko4wins
AwayZhyrnov4wins
3 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBondarenko100%3 of 3
AwayZhyrnov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondarenko3Zhyrnov5n = 8Zhyrnov took 5 of 8
S2Bondarenko4Zhyrnov4n = 8split evenly
S3Bondarenko5Zhyrnov3n = 8Bondarenko took 5 of 8
S4Bondarenko2Zhyrnov4n = 6Zhyrnov took 4 of 6
S5Bondarenko2Zhyrnov1n = 3Bondarenko took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricBondarenkoZhyrnovB − ZBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match37.538.2−0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarenkoZhyrnovBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 91 vs 372 / 75351.7%49.4%47 / 91 vs 372 / 753Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarenkoBondarenko 1.67/Zhyrnov 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Bondarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zhyrnov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 2 · 13:10Y. Bondarenko—451191O. Zhyrnov—11119113
WAug 26 · 12:10Y. Bondarenko—1111113O. Zhyrnov—7790
WAug 16 · 07:00Y. Bondarenko—111189113O. Zhyrnov—58111192
LJun 28 · 05:00Y. Bondarenko—71111672O. Zhyrnov—114911113
LMay 24 · 10:30Y. Bondarenko—3870O. Zhyrnov—1111113
WSep 21 · 07:00Y. Bondarenko—101111113O. Zhyrnov—125461
LAug 24 · 07:00Y. Bondarenko—9111161O. Zhyrnov—11139113
WAug 17 · 06:00Y. Bondarenko—116911113O. Zhyrnov—81111892
Y. Bondarenko10
WSep 2 · 16:40O. Karpenko2.63123661Y. Bondarenko1.44101111113WSep 2 · 15:40Y. Bondarenko2.501111113Y. Holoborodko1.507870WSep 2 · 14:40Y. Bondarenko1.50812119113D. Habrelyan2.50111091152LSep 2 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko1.73111071162M. Tiutiunnyk2.00412118113LAug 26 · 15:59Y. Holoborodko1.50111178113Y. Bondarenko2.5077111172WAug 26 · 14:10O. Varlamov2.50117961Y. Bondarenko1.5061111113LAug 26 · 13:10Y. Bondarenko1.44511101162D. Habrelyan2.63116126113WAug 26 · 12:10O. Zhyrnov1.837790Y. Bondarenko1.831111113LAug 26 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko2.2010101181Y. Holoborodko1.6112128113LAug 23 · 10:30O. Varlamov2.0051111113Y. Bondarenko1.73118451
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101WSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631LSep 6 · 06:00O. Zhyrnov1.8079120O. Varlamov1.911111143WSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960WSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113LSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113LAug 26 · 12:10O. Zhyrnov1.837790Y. Bondarenko1.831111113
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