TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043844
Played Aug 30Finished
Oleksandr Blashkun
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511611117711––
Yaroslav Makovka
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Blashkun to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Blashkun above · Yaroslav Makovka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 69 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Blashkun at 64.9%
69 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Blashkun 5–7 Yaroslav Makovka Oleksandr Blashkun has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:43What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Blashkun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Makovka
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blashkun 1645 vs Makovka 1455
Blashkun
Wrong
both rated, 191 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blashkun 60% vs Makovka 20%
Blashkun
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blashkun 70% vs Makovka 10%
Blashkun
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Blashkun +1 · Makovka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Blashkun) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makovka form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlashkun 1.40 / Makovka 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Blashkun)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13043844
Blashkun1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 34 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it83% 15 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it70% 26 of 37
Makovka2.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 45 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back21% 20 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlashkun3wins
AwayMakovka7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMakovka leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlashkunn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMakovka75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blashkun2Makovka8n = 10Makovka took 8 of 10
S2Blashkun5Makovka5n = 10split evenly
S3Blashkun3Makovka7n = 10Makovka took 7 of 10
S4Blashkun2Makovka3n = 5Makovka took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlashkunMakovkaB − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match30.436.2−5.8per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlashkunMakovkaBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 184 vs 148 / 37448.4%39.6%89 / 184 vs 148 / 374Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.635.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlashkunBlashkun 1.40/Makovka 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.7%
Blashkun · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Makovka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 17:40O. Blashkun—811911113Y. Makovka—11611572
LJul 5 · 06:00O. Blashkun—11116932Y. Makovka—481111113
LJul 4 · 17:10O. Blashkun—311681Y. Makovka—11811113
LJun 14 · 08:30O. Blashkun—8890Y. Makovka—1111113
LJun 13 · 15:40O. Blashkun—55100Y. Makovka—1111123
LJun 7 · 10:30O. Blashkun—551331Y. Makovka—111111113
LJun 6 · 13:10O. Blashkun—9770Y. Makovka—1111113
WMay 17 · 11:05O. Blashkun—81315113Y. Makovka—11111381
WMay 16 · 15:40O. Blashkun—1111123Y. Makovka—24100
LMar 22 · 08:30O. Blashkun—4430Y. Makovka—1111113
O. Blashkun10
WAug 30 · 09:00O. Blashkun1.50121111113V. Merzlikin2.501013841LAug 30 · 07:30O. Blashkun1.44131112482R. Sopivnyk2.631191411113WAug 30 · 06:00O. Blashkun2.251211113O. Zhyrnov1.5710890LAug 30 · 04:30O. Blashkun1.61115691Y. Holoborodko2.2051111113WAug 29 · 17:40O. Blashkun1.30811911113Y. Makovka3.4011611572WAug 29 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.4411961152O. Blashkun2.63711117113WAug 29 · 13:40V. Merzlikin2.204980O. Blashkun1.611111113WAug 29 · 12:40O. Blashkun2.6314117113O. Zhyrnov1.441251151LAug 29 · 11:40O. Varlamov2.10111163113O. Blashkun1.6768111142WAug 16 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.6111119113Y. Bondarenko2.20631181
Y. Makovka10
WAug 30 · 09:30Y. Makovka3.001111113R. Sopivnyk1.367420LAug 30 · 08:30Y. Makovka2.7510131081Y. Holoborodko1.40121112113LAug 30 · 07:00Y. Makovka2.7511123292V. Merzlikin1.409101111113LAug 30 · 05:00Y. Makovka2.6312115622O. Zhyrnov1.441081111113LAug 29 · 17:40O. Blashkun1.30811911113Y. Makovka3.4011611572LAug 29 · 16:10Y. Makovka2.506870O. Zhyrnov1.501111113LAug 29 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.5711115133Y. Makovka2.257711111LAug 29 · 12:10V. Merzlikin1.44951111113Y. Makovka2.6311114852LAug 29 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi1.201111113Y. Makovka4.333840LAug 22 · 11:35Y. Makovka2.381112481Y. Volkov1.53131011113
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