TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472147
Played Aug 22Finished
Yaroslav Makovka
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11131210411811––
Yurii Volkov
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:35 and never touched — 66.8% is still 66.8%
Graded at full timeYurii Volkov to win
66.8%
66.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Makovka above · Yurii Volkov below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 80 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Yurii Volkov at 66.8%
80 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Makovka 3–2 Yurii Volkov Yurii Volkov has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:35What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Volkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Makovka 1510 vs Volkov 1715
Volkov
Correct
both rated, 205 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Makovka 80% vs Volkov 100%
Volkov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Makovka 60% vs Volkov 80%
Volkov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Makovka +4 · Volkov +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Volkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volkov form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakovka 2.38 / Volkov 1.53
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Volkov)+6.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472147
Makovka2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 42 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back21% 19 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 59
Volkov1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 154 of 241
Up 2–0, closes it95% 81 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it83% 113 of 136
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMakovka3wins
AwayVolkov2wins
Makovka leads 3–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMakovkan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayVolkov50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makovka1Volkov4n = 5Volkov took 4 of 5
S2Makovka2Volkov3n = 5Volkov took 3 of 5
S3Makovka4Volkov1n = 5Makovka took 4 of 5
S4Makovka3Volkov1n = 4Makovka took 3 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricMakovkaVolkovM − VBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match33.435.6−2.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakovkaVolkovBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 369 vs 427 / 79140.4%54%149 / 369 vs 427 / 791Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolkovMakovka 2.38/Volkov 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.8%
Volkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Volkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 15 · 08:05Y. Makovka—961141Y. Volkov—11119113
LAug 1 · 10:35Y. Makovka—5760Y. Volkov—1111113
WOct 5 · 12:05Y. Makovka—41111103Y. Volkov—118951
WAug 30 · 09:50Y. Makovka—71111113Y. Volkov—119461
WJul 20 · 06:35Y. Makovka—11813113Y. Volkov—9111191
Y. Makovka10
WAug 30 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.40561171Y. Makovka2.7511117113WAug 30 · 09:30Y. Makovka3.001111113R. Sopivnyk1.367420LAug 30 · 08:30Y. Makovka2.7510131081Y. Holoborodko1.40121112113LAug 30 · 07:00Y. Makovka2.7511123292V. Merzlikin1.409101111113LAug 30 · 05:00Y. Makovka2.6312115622O. Zhyrnov1.441081111113LAug 29 · 17:40O. Blashkun1.30811911113Y. Makovka3.4011611572LAug 29 · 16:10Y. Makovka2.506870O. Zhyrnov1.501111113LAug 29 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.5711115133Y. Makovka2.257711111LAug 29 · 12:10V. Merzlikin1.44951111113Y. Makovka2.6311114852LAug 29 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi1.201111113Y. Makovka4.333840
Y. Volkov10
LSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123WSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113WSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.679111111113Y. Kovshun2.1011136912LSep 4 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.2011381192R. Sopivnyk1.61611114113LSep 4 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.6112811752A. Troyan2.201011811113LSep 4 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.3691211872O. Karpenko3.001110211113
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