TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037669
Played Aug 29Finished
Yaroslav Makovka
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811711––––
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:43 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhyrnov to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Makovka above · Oleksandr Zhyrnov below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Zhyrnov at 58.5%
54 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Makovka 13–15 Oleksandr Zhyrnov Yaroslav Makovka has won 13 of their 28 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:43What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zhyrnov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-15 in 28
Zhyrnov
Correct
gap of 2 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Makovka 1451 vs Zhyrnov 1654
Zhyrnov
Correct
both rated, 202 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Makovka 20% vs Zhyrnov 60%
Zhyrnov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Makovka 40% vs Zhyrnov 60%
Zhyrnov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Makovka -4 · Zhyrnov +1
Makovka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Zhyrnov) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makovka form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakovka 2.50 / Zhyrnov 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Zhyrnov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13037669
Makovka2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 45 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back22% 20 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 57
Zhyrnov1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 104 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it93% 49 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it84% 76 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMakovka5wins
AwayZhyrnov5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMakovka100%5 of 5
AwayZhyrnov100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makovka5Zhyrnov5n = 10split evenly
S2Makovka3Zhyrnov7n = 10Zhyrnov took 7 of 10
S3Makovka4Zhyrnov6n = 10Zhyrnov took 6 of 10
S4Makovka3Zhyrnov0n = 3Makovka took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricMakovkaZhyrnovM − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match30.132.7−2.6per matchSweeps25−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakovkaZhyrnovBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 370 vs 370 / 75139.7%49.3%147 / 370 vs 370 / 751Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhyrnovMakovka 2.50/Zhyrnov 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Zhyrnov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zhyrnov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 26 · 08:35Y. Makovka—11157113O. Zhyrnov—8131171
WJul 11 · 10:40Y. Makovka—1213113O. Zhyrnov—101190
LJul 4 · 15:10Y. Makovka—12580O. Zhyrnov—1411113
WJun 14 · 10:00Y. Makovka—12912113O. Zhyrnov—10111071
LJun 13 · 16:40Y. Makovka—6990O. Zhyrnov—1111113
LJun 7 · 06:00Y. Makovka—6460O. Zhyrnov—1111113
WMay 24 · 07:00Y. Makovka—11411113O. Zhyrnov—711961
LMay 3 · 11:30Y. Makovka—8580O. Zhyrnov—1111113
WMay 2 · 15:10Y. Makovka—1111113O. Zhyrnov—7390
LJan 17 · 12:10Y. Makovka—6960O. Zhyrnov—1111113
Y. Makovka10
WAug 30 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.40561171Y. Makovka2.7511117113WAug 30 · 09:30Y. Makovka3.001111113R. Sopivnyk1.367420LAug 30 · 08:30Y. Makovka2.7510131081Y. Holoborodko1.40121112113LAug 30 · 07:00Y. Makovka2.7511123292V. Merzlikin1.409101111113LAug 30 · 05:00Y. Makovka2.6312115622O. Zhyrnov1.441081111113LAug 29 · 17:40O. Blashkun1.30811911113Y. Makovka3.4011611572LAug 29 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.5711115133Y. Makovka2.257711111LAug 29 · 12:10V. Merzlikin1.44951111113Y. Makovka2.6311114852LAug 29 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi1.201111113Y. Makovka4.333840LAug 22 · 11:35Y. Makovka2.381112481Y. Volkov1.53131011113
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101WSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631LSep 6 · 06:00O. Zhyrnov1.8079120O. Varlamov1.911111143WSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960WSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113LSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113WAug 30 · 05:00Y. Makovka2.6312115622O. Zhyrnov1.441081111113
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