TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043786
Played Aug 30Finished
Yaroslav Makovka
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
101213111012811––
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Holoborodko to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Makovka above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 87 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Yevhenii Holoborodko at 70.7%
87 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Makovka 6–15 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yaroslav Makovka has won 6 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Holoborodko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-15 in 21
Holoborodko
Correct
gap of 9 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Makovka 1438 vs Holoborodko 1647
Holoborodko
Correct
both rated, 209 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Makovka 0% vs Holoborodko 80%
Holoborodko
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Makovka 20% vs Holoborodko 70%
Holoborodko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Makovka -5 · Holoborodko +2
Makovka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Holoborodko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makovka form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakovka 2.75 / Holoborodko 1.40
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Holoborodko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13043786
Makovka2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 45 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back21% 20 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 60
Holoborodko1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 127 of 231
Up 2–0, closes it92% 55 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it69% 79 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMakovka4wins
AwayHoloborodko6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHoloborodko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMakovkan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHoloborodko55.6%5 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makovka1Holoborodko9n = 10Holoborodko took 9 of 10
S2Makovka5Holoborodko5n = 10split evenly
S3Makovka4Holoborodko6n = 10Holoborodko took 6 of 10
S4Makovka3Holoborodko4n = 7Holoborodko took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMakovkaHoloborodkoM − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match37.441.1−3.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakovkaHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 372 vs 306 / 57839.5%52.9%147 / 372 vs 306 / 578Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoloborodkoMakovka 2.75/Holoborodko 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.7%
Holoborodko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Holoborodko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 2 · 05:05Y. Makovka—911961Y. Holoborodko—11711113
WJul 26 · 10:35Y. Makovka—911615123Y. Holoborodko—1121113102
LJul 25 · 17:10Y. Makovka—11127131Y. Holoborodko—81411153
LJul 12 · 10:00Y. Makovka—9540Y. Holoborodko—1111113
WJul 11 · 16:10Y. Makovka—817124113Y. Holoborodko—1115101182
WJul 4 · 14:10Y. Makovka—91112113Y. Holoborodko—1141091
WJun 23 · 03:10Y. Makovka—71312113Y. Holoborodko—11111071
LJun 13 · 14:40Y. Makovka—9930Y. Holoborodko—1111113
LJun 7 · 04:30Y. Makovka—9101141Y. Holoborodko—11129113
LJun 6 · 11:10Y. Makovka—81590Y. Holoborodko—1117113
Y. Makovka10
WAug 30 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.40561171Y. Makovka2.7511117113WAug 30 · 09:30Y. Makovka3.001111113R. Sopivnyk1.367420LAug 30 · 07:00Y. Makovka2.7511123292V. Merzlikin1.409101111113LAug 30 · 05:00Y. Makovka2.6312115622O. Zhyrnov1.441081111113LAug 29 · 17:40O. Blashkun1.30811911113Y. Makovka3.4011611572LAug 29 · 16:10Y. Makovka2.506870O. Zhyrnov1.501111113LAug 29 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.5711115133Y. Makovka2.257711111LAug 29 · 12:10V. Merzlikin1.44951111113Y. Makovka2.6311114852LAug 29 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi1.201111113Y. Makovka4.333840LAug 22 · 11:35Y. Makovka2.381112481Y. Volkov1.53131011113
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113WSep 6 · 10:00O. Varlamov1.73111112822Y. Holoborodko2.00841411113LSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790LSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960LSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133LSep 5 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.80111142Y. Holoborodko1.919851WSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113LSep 5 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.509760
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