TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043907
Played Aug 30Finished
Oleksandr Blashkun
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13111191214411811
Ruslan Sopivnyk
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Blashkun to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Blashkun above · Ruslan Sopivnyk below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 104 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Blashkun at 66.1%
104 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Blashkun 8–5 Ruslan Sopivnyk Ruslan Sopivnyk has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:41What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Blashkun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Blashkun
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blashkun 1628 vs Sopivnyk 1622
Blashkun
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blashkun 80% vs Sopivnyk 40%
Blashkun
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blashkun 70% vs Sopivnyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blashkun +1 · Sopivnyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Blashkun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blashkun form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlashkun 1.44 / Sopivnyk 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Blashkun)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13043907
Blashkun1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 35 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it79% 15 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it68% 27 of 40
Sopivnyk2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 59 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlashkun5wins
AwaySopivnyk5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlashkun71.4%5 of 7
AwaySopivnyk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blashkun7Sopivnyk3n = 10Blashkun took 7 of 10
S2Blashkun4Sopivnyk6n = 10Sopivnyk took 6 of 10
S3Blashkun7Sopivnyk3n = 10Blashkun took 7 of 10
S4Blashkun2Sopivnyk4n = 6Sopivnyk took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlashkunSopivnykB − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.532.5+4.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlashkunSopivnykBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 185 vs 185 / 37348.1%49.6%89 / 185 vs 185 / 373Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlashkunBlashkun 1.44/Sopivnyk 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Blashkun · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sopivnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 07:30O. Blashkun—131112482R. Sopivnyk—1191411113
WAug 15 · 16:10O. Blashkun—1111103R. Sopivnyk—5840
WAug 13 · 16:10O. Blashkun—11711113R. Sopivnyk—311941
WAug 9 · 08:30O. Blashkun—1111113R. Sopivnyk—9950
WJul 23 · 10:40O. Blashkun—1111113R. Sopivnyk—7580
WJun 6 · 15:10O. Blashkun—11911113R. Sopivnyk—911341
LMay 16 · 17:40O. Blashkun—1111391R. Sopivnyk—71311113
LMay 1 · 16:10O. Blashkun—891191R. Sopivnyk—11115113
LApr 29 · 12:10O. Blashkun—791191R. Sopivnyk—11116113
LApr 11 · 16:10O. Blashkun—101190R. Sopivnyk—1213113
O. Blashkun10
LAug 30 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.40561171Y. Makovka2.7511117113WAug 30 · 09:00O. Blashkun1.50121111113V. Merzlikin2.501013841WAug 30 · 06:00O. Blashkun2.251211113O. Zhyrnov1.5710890LAug 30 · 04:30O. Blashkun1.61115691Y. Holoborodko2.2051111113WAug 29 · 17:40O. Blashkun1.30811911113Y. Makovka3.4011611572WAug 29 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.4411961152O. Blashkun2.63711117113WAug 29 · 13:40V. Merzlikin2.204980O. Blashkun1.611111113WAug 29 · 12:40O. Blashkun2.6314117113O. Zhyrnov1.441251151LAug 29 · 11:40O. Varlamov2.10111163113O. Blashkun1.6768111142WAug 16 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.6111119113Y. Bondarenko2.20631181
R. Sopivnyk10
LSep 6 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.803740O. Varlamov1.91111193WSep 6 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.50118941R. Sopivnyk2.5081111113LSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631WSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 17:10O. Varlamov2.0081111113R. Sopivnyk1.73119361WSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133WSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113WSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113WSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870
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