TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084965
Played Sep 6Finished
Oleh Kuzyshyn
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711611115411––
Andrii Droshchynskyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:48 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeOleh Kuzyshyn to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleh Kuzyshyn above · Andrii Droshchynskyi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 66 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Oleh Kuzyshyn at 56.7%
66 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kuzyshyn 7–4 Andrii Droshchynskyi Andrii Droshchynskyi has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:48What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzyshyn 1658 vs Droshchynskyi 1688
Droshchynskyi
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzyshyn 60% vs Droshchynskyi 80%
Droshchynskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzyshyn 50% vs Droshchynskyi 70%
Droshchynskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzyshyn +3 · Droshchynskyi +1
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kuzyshyn) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Droshchynskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzyshyn 1.61 / Droshchynskyi 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Kuzyshyn)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13084965
Kuzyshyn1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 69 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it80% 53 of 66
Droshchynskyi2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 19 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back18% 4 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzyshyn7wins
AwayDroshchynskyi3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKuzyshyn leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzyshyn100%6 of 6
AwayDroshchynskyi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzyshyn6Droshchynskyi4n = 10Kuzyshyn took 6 of 10
S2Kuzyshyn6Droshchynskyi4n = 10Kuzyshyn took 6 of 10
S3Kuzyshyn8Droshchynskyi2n = 10Kuzyshyn took 8 of 10
S4Kuzyshyn3Droshchynskyi2n = 5Kuzyshyn took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzyshynDroshchynskyiK − DBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.028.8+6.2per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzyshynDroshchynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 444 vs 116 / 20352.3%57.1%232 / 444 vs 116 / 203Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzyshynKuzyshyn 1.61/Droshchynskyi 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.9%
Kuzyshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Droshchynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn—761141A. Droshchynskyi—11115113
WSep 5 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn—11114103A. Droshchynskyi—731121
WAug 22 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn—11911113A. Droshchynskyi—711571
LJul 25 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn—6490A. Droshchynskyi—1111113
WJul 18 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn—461111133A. Droshchynskyi—111167112
WMay 14 · 18:20O. Kuzyshyn—1111113A. Droshchynskyi—7380
WMay 3 · 09:00O. Kuzyshyn—1111113A. Droshchynskyi—9430
WApr 11 · 12:20O. Kuzyshyn—1111113A. Droshchynskyi—8670
LMar 15 · 09:05O. Kuzyshyn—81111992A. Droshchynskyi—113911113
WFeb 22 · 12:00O. Kuzyshyn—1111113A. Droshchynskyi—6570
O. Kuzyshyn10
LSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101LSep 6 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.50118941R. Sopivnyk2.5081111113WSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790WSep 6 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.501111113O. Varlamov2.506750WSep 5 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114103A. Droshchynskyi2.20731121WSep 5 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.571111113O. Varlamov2.259560LSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113LSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113LSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113LSep 3 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov1.801112113O. Kuzyshyn1.9181050
A. Droshchynskyi10
LSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113LSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 08:00A. Droshchynskyi1.4011511133O. Varlamov2.754111111WSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114103A. Droshchynskyi2.20731121WSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:10A. Droshchynskyi1.44111162O. Varlamov2.639860WSep 5 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.509760WAug 29 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.751210671A. Droshchynskyi1.40101211113LAug 29 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.4411961152O. Blashkun2.63711117113
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