TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079344
Played Sep 5Finished
Oleh Kuzyshyn
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115116––––
Oleg Varlamov
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeOleh Kuzyshyn to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Kuzyshyn above · Oleg Varlamov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Oleh Kuzyshyn at 62.1%
53 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kuzyshyn 15–11 Oleg Varlamov Oleg Varlamov has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kuzyshyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-11 in 26
Kuzyshyn
Correct
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzyshyn 1636 vs Varlamov 1567
Kuzyshyn
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzyshyn 20% vs Varlamov 40%
Varlamov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzyshyn 50% vs Varlamov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzyshyn -4 · Varlamov +1
Kuzyshyn
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kuzyshyn) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzyshyn form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzyshyn 1.57 / Varlamov 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Kuzyshyn)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13079344
Kuzyshyn1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 65 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it82% 49 of 60
Varlamov2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog48% won 70 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back30% 23 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzyshyn7wins
AwayVarlamov3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKuzyshyn leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzyshyn83.3%5 of 6
AwayVarlamov50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzyshyn6Varlamov4n = 10Kuzyshyn took 6 of 10
S2Kuzyshyn6Varlamov4n = 10Kuzyshyn took 6 of 10
S3Kuzyshyn5Varlamov5n = 10split evenly
S4Kuzyshyn5Varlamov3n = 8Kuzyshyn took 5 of 8
S5Kuzyshyn3Varlamov1n = 4Kuzyshyn took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzyshynVarlamovK − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.238.6+2.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzyshynVarlamovBasisWin rate · lifetime228 / 437 vs 261 / 54652.2%47.8%228 / 437 vs 261 / 546Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzyshynKuzyshyn 1.57/Varlamov 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Kuzyshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kuzyshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn—1081131O. Varlamov—12116113
LAug 19 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn—811871O. Varlamov—11911113
WAug 12 · 13:10O. Kuzyshyn—691111113O. Varlamov—11117342
WJul 25 · 17:40O. Kuzyshyn—1112113O. Varlamov—81070
WApr 22 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn—1112133O. Varlamov—810110
WApr 15 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn—912711113O. Varlamov—111011682
WMar 21 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn—11119113O. Varlamov—871151
WMar 14 · 18:10O. Kuzyshyn—111011123O. Varlamov—8129101
LMar 1 · 12:30O. Kuzyshyn—111211652O. Varlamov—8101311113
WJan 24 · 12:40O. Kuzyshyn—143811113O. Varlamov—121111922
O. Kuzyshyn10
LSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101LSep 6 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.50118941R. Sopivnyk2.5081111113WSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790LSep 6 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn1.61761141A. Droshchynskyi2.2011115113WSep 6 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.501111113O. Varlamov2.506750WSep 5 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114103A. Droshchynskyi2.20731121LSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113LSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113LSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113LSep 3 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov1.801112113O. Kuzyshyn1.9181050
O. Varlamov10
WSep 6 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.803740O. Varlamov1.91111193LSep 6 · 10:00O. Varlamov1.73111112822Y. Holoborodko2.00841411113LSep 6 · 08:00A. Droshchynskyi1.4011511133O. Varlamov2.754111111WSep 6 · 06:00O. Zhyrnov1.8079120O. Varlamov1.911111143LSep 6 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.501111113O. Varlamov2.506750WSep 5 · 17:10O. Varlamov2.0081111113R. Sopivnyk1.73119361WSep 5 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.80111142Y. Holoborodko1.919851LSep 5 · 13:10A. Droshchynskyi1.44111162O. Varlamov2.639860LSep 5 · 11:40O. Varlamov1.8351090O. Zhyrnov1.83111292LAug 29 · 17:10O. Varlamov1.8311931182O. Zhyrnov1.83611112113
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