TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472093
Played Aug 22Finished
Vitalii Kryvenko
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111181210114––
Andrey Troyan
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:20 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kryvenko to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Kryvenko above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 76 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Vitalii Kryvenko at 66.3%
76 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kryvenko 3–1 Andrey Troyan Andrey Troyan has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:20What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kryvenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Kryvenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvenko 1636 vs Troyan 1590
Kryvenko
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvenko 40% vs Troyan 20%
Kryvenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvenko 50% vs Troyan 30%
Kryvenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvenko -1 · Troyan -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kryvenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Troyan form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvenko 1.40 / Troyan 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Kryvenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472093
Kryvenko1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 41 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it83% 30 of 36
Troyan2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 56 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKryvenko3wins
AwayTroyan1wins
Kryvenko leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvenko100%3 of 3
AwayTroyann = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvenko3Troyan1n = 4Kryvenko took 3 of 4
S2Kryvenko2Troyan2n = 4split evenly
S3Kryvenko3Troyan1n = 4Kryvenko took 3 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKryvenkoTroyanK − TBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match33.528.8+4.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvenkoTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime53 / 88 vs 459 / 97260.2%47.2%53 / 88 vs 459 / 972Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvenkoKryvenko 1.40/Troyan 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Kryvenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kryvenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJun 23 · 10:00V. Kryvenko—1211113A. Troyan—10960
WMay 3 · 14:30V. Kryvenko—1111113A. Troyan—7790
WMay 2 · 10:35V. Kryvenko—11912113A. Troyan—7111061
LApr 5 · 09:05V. Kryvenko—7980A. Troyan—1111113
V. Kryvenko10
LAug 22 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.671111113V. Kryvenko2.107890WAug 22 · 10:05V. Kryvenko1.5011811113A. Kotiash2.50611781LAug 22 · 09:05V. Kryvenko1.83101251152Y. Volkov1.831210119113LAug 22 · 07:35V. Kryvenko1.5376121192Y. Makovka2.381111107113LAug 15 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko2.6311711113V. Kryvenko1.44911681WAug 15 · 10:35A. Troyan3.0091141132V. Kryvenko1.36118116113WAug 15 · 09:05Y. Kovshun2.0029130V. Kryvenko1.731111152LAug 15 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.631111113V. Kryvenko1.448690LAug 15 · 05:05Y. Volkov2.251112113V. Kryvenko1.5761090WJul 25 · 11:35V. Vietrov2.50113971V. Kryvenko1.5031111113
A. Troyan10
WSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272LSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113LSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870WSep 4 · 10:00A. Troyan1.806121111113O. Karpenko1.9111146892LAug 15 · 10:35A. Troyan3.0091141132V. Kryvenko1.36118116113
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