TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12296837
Played Jul 25Finished
Vitalii Vietrov
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
113311911711––
Vitalii Kryvenko
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:26 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kryvenko to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Vietrov above · Vitalii Kryvenko below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 66 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Vitalii Kryvenko at 62.5%
66 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Vietrov 0–1 Vitalii Kryvenko Vitalii Vietrov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:26What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kryvenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vietrov 1617 vs Kryvenko 1687
Kryvenko
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vietrov 60% vs Kryvenko 40%
Vietrov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vietrov 70% vs Kryvenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vietrov +1 · Kryvenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kryvenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVietrov 2.50 / Kryvenko 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Kryvenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12296837
Vietrov2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 11 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back27% 4 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back25% 2 of 8
Kryvenko1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 37 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVietrov0wins
AwayKryvenko1wins
Kryvenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVietrovKryvenkoV − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match29.040.0−11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVietrovKryvenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 99 vs 50 / 8262.6%61%62 / 99 vs 50 / 82Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvenkoVietrov 2.50/Kryvenko 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Kryvenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kryvenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMar 21 · 12:35V. Vietrov—871131V. Kryvenko—11117113
V. Vietrov10
WJul 25 · 09:35Y. Volkov1.801111511102V. Vietrov1.91713119123LJul 25 · 08:35V. Vietrov2.75681141A. Lobanov1.4011119113WJul 25 · 07:35Y. Kovshun1.80781181V. Vietrov1.9111116113WJul 25 · 06:05V. Vietrov2.10515118113O. Tymofeev1.67111331192LJun 28 · 12:05V. Vietrov2.10118691A. Troyan1.6771111113WJun 28 · 10:05D. Khairov2.10881101V. Vietrov1.6711112113WJun 28 · 08:05Y. Kovshun1.67119101182V. Vietrov2.10711129113LJun 28 · 07:05V. Vietrov1.8311115672Y. Volkov1.83531111113WJun 28 · 06:05B. Zaika1.619490V. Vietrov2.201111113WJun 20 · 12:05V. Vietrov1.8011124113D. Khairov1.916101151
V. Kryvenko10
LAug 22 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.671111113V. Kryvenko2.107890WAug 22 · 10:05V. Kryvenko1.5011811113A. Kotiash2.50611781LAug 22 · 09:05V. Kryvenko1.83101251152Y. Volkov1.831210119113LAug 22 · 07:35V. Kryvenko1.5376121192Y. Makovka2.381111107113WAug 22 · 05:35V. Kryvenko1.4091112113A. Troyan2.751181041LAug 15 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko2.6311711113V. Kryvenko1.44911681WAug 15 · 10:35A. Troyan3.0091141132V. Kryvenko1.36118116113WAug 15 · 09:05Y. Kovshun2.0029130V. Kryvenko1.731111152LAug 15 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.631111113V. Kryvenko1.448690LAug 15 · 05:05Y. Volkov2.251112113V. Kryvenko1.5761090
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