TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12296781
Played Jul 25Finished
Yaroslav Kovshun
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711811116811––
Vitalii Vietrov
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Kovshun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYaroslav Kovshun above · Vitalii Vietrov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Yaroslav Kovshun at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Kovshun 1–2 Vitalii Vietrov Yaroslav Kovshun has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:17What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kovshun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovshun 1653 vs Vietrov 1608
Kovshun
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovshun 80% vs Vietrov 60%
Kovshun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovshun 50% vs Vietrov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovshun -1 · Vietrov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kovshun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovshun form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovshun 1.80 / Vietrov 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kovshun)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12296781
Kovshun1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 79 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it90% 36 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it73% 53 of 73
Vietrov1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 11 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back27% 4 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back25% 2 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKovshun1wins
AwayVietrov2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderVietrov leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovshun2Vietrov1n = 3Kovshun took 2 of 3
S2Kovshun0Vietrov3n = 3Vietrov took 3 of 3
S3Kovshun2Vietrov1n = 3Kovshun took 2 of 3
S4Kovshun1Vietrov2n = 3Vietrov took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKovshunVietrovK − VBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match42.744.0−1.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovshunVietrovBasisWin rate · lifetime374 / 676 vs 62 / 10055.3%62%374 / 676 vs 62 / 100Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovshunKovshun 1.80/Vietrov 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kovshun · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vietrov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 25 · 07:35Y. Kovshun—781181V. Vietrov—11116113
LJun 28 · 08:05Y. Kovshun—119101182V. Vietrov—711129113
WJun 20 · 08:05Y. Kovshun—113119113V. Vietrov—31191192
Y. Kovshun10
LSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272WSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 07:48A. Kotiash1.91117711113Y. Kovshun1.8091111972LSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko1.36148115113Y. Kovshun3.00121171162LSep 4 · 11:00Y. Kovshun1.8051181182O. Karpenko1.91117116113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.679111111113Y. Kovshun2.1011136912WSep 4 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.401111133A. Troyan2.7588110WSep 4 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.57118841Y. Kovshun2.2591111113WSep 4 · 05:30Y. Kovshun3.00891111133R. Sopivnyk1.36111188112
V. Vietrov10
LJul 25 · 11:35V. Vietrov2.50113971V. Kryvenko1.5031111113WJul 25 · 09:35Y. Volkov1.801111511102V. Vietrov1.91713119123LJul 25 · 08:35V. Vietrov2.75681141A. Lobanov1.4011119113WJul 25 · 06:05V. Vietrov2.10515118113O. Tymofeev1.67111331192LJun 28 · 12:05V. Vietrov2.10118691A. Troyan1.6771111113WJun 28 · 10:05D. Khairov2.10881101V. Vietrov1.6711112113WJun 28 · 08:05Y. Kovshun1.67119101182V. Vietrov2.10711129113LJun 28 · 07:05V. Vietrov1.8311115672Y. Volkov1.83531111113WJun 28 · 06:05B. Zaika1.619490V. Vietrov2.201111113WJun 20 · 12:05V. Vietrov1.8011124113D. Khairov1.916101151
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