TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12296799
Played Jul 25Finished
Vitalii Vietrov
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611811119411––
Arsenii Lobanov
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:17 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeArsenii Lobanov to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Vietrov above · Arsenii Lobanov below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 71 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Arsenii Lobanov at 68.8%
71 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Vietrov 0–1 Arsenii Lobanov Vitalii Vietrov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:17What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Lobanov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vietrov 1617 vs Lobanov 1585
Vietrov
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vietrov 80% vs Lobanov 20%
Vietrov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vietrov 70% vs Lobanov 50%
Vietrov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vietrov +2 · Lobanov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Lobanov) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lobanov form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVietrov 2.75 / Lobanov 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Lobanov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12296799
Vietrov2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 11 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back27% 4 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back25% 2 of 8
Lobanov1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite50% won 15 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it83% 10 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVietrov0wins
AwayLobanov1wins
Lobanov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVietrovLobanovV − LBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match41.039.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVietrovLobanovBasisWin rate · lifetime61 / 97 vs 54 / 10962.9%49.5%61 / 97 vs 54 / 109Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobanovVietrov 2.75/Lobanov 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Lobanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lobanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMar 21 · 10:35V. Vietrov—101110101A. Lobanov—12312123
V. Vietrov10
LJul 25 · 11:35V. Vietrov2.50113971V. Kryvenko1.5031111113WJul 25 · 09:35Y. Volkov1.801111511102V. Vietrov1.91713119123WJul 25 · 07:35Y. Kovshun1.80781181V. Vietrov1.9111116113WJul 25 · 06:05V. Vietrov2.10515118113O. Tymofeev1.67111331192LJun 28 · 12:05V. Vietrov2.10118691A. Troyan1.6771111113WJun 28 · 10:05D. Khairov2.10881101V. Vietrov1.6711112113WJun 28 · 08:05Y. Kovshun1.67119101182V. Vietrov2.10711129113LJun 28 · 07:05V. Vietrov1.8311115672Y. Volkov1.83531111113WJun 28 · 06:05B. Zaika1.619490V. Vietrov2.201111113WJun 20 · 12:05V. Vietrov1.8011124113D. Khairov1.916101151
A. Lobanov10
LAug 23 · 11:30A. Droshchynskyi1.83117411113A. Lobanov1.8371111722LAug 23 · 10:00A. Lobanov1.91115111152Y. Holoborodko1.80411313113WAug 23 · 08:00Y. Kovshun2.2071351132A. Lobanov1.611111112113WAug 23 · 06:00O. Varlamov2.507590A. Lobanov1.501111113LAug 23 · 05:00Y. Bondarenko2.75101211113A. Lobanov1.401210741LAug 20 · 10:30A. Obishchenko1.57127119123A. Lobanov2.251011811102WAug 20 · 09:30A. Lobanov1.40127211113A. Troyan2.75101111932LAug 20 · 08:30A. Lobanov1.50111116592Y. Volkov2.50691811113WAug 20 · 07:00A. Lobanov1.571113113A. Kotiash2.2551170LAug 20 · 05:00A. Lobanov1.8339100Y. Holoborodko1.831111123
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