TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12296980
Played Jul 25Finished
Vitalii Vietrov
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5111513113811119
Oleksandr Tymofeev
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:31 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Tymofeev to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVitalii Vietrov above · Oleksandr Tymofeev below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 97 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandr Tymofeev at 55.8%
97 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Vietrov 6–5 Oleksandr Tymofeev Oleksandr Tymofeev has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:31What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Tymofeev
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vietrov 1608 vs Tymofeev 1489
Vietrov
Correct
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vietrov 60% vs Tymofeev 40%
Vietrov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vietrov 60% vs Tymofeev 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vietrov -1 · Tymofeev +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Tymofeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tymofeev form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVietrov 2.10 / Tymofeev 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Tymofeev)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12296980
Vietrov2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 14 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back33% 6 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Tymofeev1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite80% won 86 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it98% 42 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it91% 64 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVietrov5wins
AwayTymofeev5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVietrov100%4 of 4
AwayTymofeev83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vietrov4Tymofeev6n = 10Tymofeev took 6 of 10
S2Vietrov2Tymofeev8n = 10Tymofeev took 8 of 10
S3Vietrov4Tymofeev6n = 10Tymofeev took 6 of 10
S4Vietrov3Tymofeev2n = 5Vietrov took 3 of 5
S5Vietrov3Tymofeev0n = 3Vietrov took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricVietrovTymofeevV − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.539.0−3.5per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVietrovTymofeevBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 100 vs 264 / 52162%50.7%62 / 100 vs 264 / 521Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TymofeevVietrov 2.10/Tymofeev 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Tymofeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vietrov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 25 · 06:05V. Vietrov—515118113O. Tymofeev—111331192
WJun 20 · 06:05V. Vietrov—149911113O. Tymofeev—121111972
LMay 16 · 06:05V. Vietrov—1071281O. Tymofeev—121110113
LMay 9 · 06:05V. Vietrov—7960O. Tymofeev—1111113
WNov 23 · 06:50V. Vietrov—11715113O. Tymofeev—6111371
WNov 9 · 06:50V. Vietrov—114611123O. Tymofeev—911116102
LJul 19 · 18:50V. Vietrov—7570O. Tymofeev—1111113
LFeb 1 · 13:50V. Vietrov—15450O. Tymofeev—171193
LJan 22 · 13:10V. Vietrov—11870O. Tymofeev—1311113
WJan 21 · 16:10V. Vietrov—1113113O. Tymofeev—71190
V. Vietrov10
LJul 25 · 11:35V. Vietrov2.50113971V. Kryvenko1.5031111113WJul 25 · 09:35Y. Volkov1.801111511102V. Vietrov1.91713119123LJul 25 · 08:35V. Vietrov2.75681141A. Lobanov1.4011119113WJul 25 · 07:35Y. Kovshun1.80781181V. Vietrov1.9111116113LJun 28 · 12:05V. Vietrov2.10118691A. Troyan1.6771111113WJun 28 · 10:05D. Khairov2.10881101V. Vietrov1.6711112113WJun 28 · 08:05Y. Kovshun1.67119101182V. Vietrov2.10711129113LJun 28 · 07:05V. Vietrov1.8311115672Y. Volkov1.83531111113WJun 28 · 06:05B. Zaika1.619490V. Vietrov2.201111113WJun 20 · 12:05V. Vietrov1.8011124113D. Khairov1.916101151
O. Tymofeev10
WSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:00V. Smyk2.501111113O. Tymofeev1.506770WSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:00D. Patalakha3.50111149123O. Tymofeev1.28191111102LAug 30 · 12:50O. Tymofeev1.4071111872S. Solomko2.75116611113LAug 30 · 10:50D. Khairov1.73711127123O. Tymofeev2.001151011102LAug 30 · 08:50O. Osadchyi1.801111113O. Tymofeev1.919980WAug 30 · 07:50O. Tymofeev2.2011119113E. Populovskyi1.61591171LAug 30 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.8061111123O. Tymofeev1.911189101WAug 29 · 19:00E. Populovskyi2.2078111132O. Tymofeev1.61111169113
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