TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12296922
Played Jul 25Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11711135111191012
Vitalii Vietrov
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Volkov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Vitalii Vietrov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 100 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Yurii Volkov at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 4–4 Vitalii Vietrov Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:23What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Volkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1681 vs Vietrov 1604
Volkov
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 80% vs Vietrov 60%
Volkov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 80% vs Vietrov 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov +3 · Vietrov -1
Volkov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volkov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 1.80 / Vietrov 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Volkov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12296922
Volkov1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 131 of 213
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it82% 99 of 121
Vietrov1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 11 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back27% 4 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back25% 2 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeVolkov4wins
AwayVietrov4wins
6 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 6 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov50%2 of 4
AwayVietrov50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov4Vietrov4n = 8split evenly
S2Volkov3Vietrov5n = 8Vietrov took 5 of 8
S3Volkov3Vietrov5n = 8Vietrov took 5 of 8
S4Volkov5Vietrov2n = 7Volkov took 5 of 7
S5Volkov3Vietrov3n = 6split evenly
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricVolkovVietrovVolkov − VietrovBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match42.943.0−0.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovVietrovBasisWin rate · lifetime416 / 794 vs 61 / 9852.4%62.2%416 / 794 vs 61 / 98Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolkovVolkov 1.80/Vietrov 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Volkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vietrov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJun 28 · 07:05Y. Volkov—531111113V. Vietrov—11115672
LJun 20 · 10:05Y. Volkov—91161182V. Vietrov—115117113
LMay 9 · 08:05Y. Volkov—111110862V. Vietrov—751211113
LFeb 8 · 10:35Y. Volkov—95100V. Vietrov—1111113
WFeb 1 · 07:49Y. Volkov—11711113V. Vietrov—811391
LJan 31 · 22:50Y. Volkov—124611102V. Vietrov—1011119123
WJan 21 · 13:10Y. Volkov—1611114113V. Vietrov—141351162
WJan 17 · 17:50Y. Volkov—912811113V. Vietrov—111011962
Y. Volkov10
LSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123WSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113WSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.679111111113Y. Kovshun2.1011136912LSep 4 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.2011381192R. Sopivnyk1.61611114113LSep 4 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.6112811752A. Troyan2.201011811113LSep 4 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.3691211872O. Karpenko3.001110211113
V. Vietrov10
LJul 25 · 11:35V. Vietrov2.50113971V. Kryvenko1.5031111113LJul 25 · 08:35V. Vietrov2.75681141A. Lobanov1.4011119113WJul 25 · 07:35Y. Kovshun1.80781181V. Vietrov1.9111116113WJul 25 · 06:05V. Vietrov2.10515118113O. Tymofeev1.67111331192LJun 28 · 12:05V. Vietrov2.10118691A. Troyan1.6771111113WJun 28 · 10:05D. Khairov2.10881101V. Vietrov1.6711112113WJun 28 · 08:05Y. Kovshun1.67119101182V. Vietrov2.10711129113LJun 28 · 07:05V. Vietrov1.8311115672Y. Volkov1.83531111113WJun 28 · 06:05B. Zaika1.619490V. Vietrov2.201111113WJun 20 · 12:05V. Vietrov1.8011124113D. Khairov1.916101151
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