TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12112999
Played Jun 28Finished
Yaroslav Kovshun
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1179111012119811
Vitalii Vietrov
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingYaroslav Kovshun above · Vitalii Vietrov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 99 set 5, 8-11
99 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Kovshun 1–0 Vitalii Vietrov Vitalii Vietrov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kovshun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vietrov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovshun 1.67 / Vietrov 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Kovshun)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12112999
Kovshun1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite49% won 64 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it88% 28 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it69% 43 of 62
Vietrov2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 9 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back21% 3 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back25% 2 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKovshun1wins
AwayVietrov0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKovshun leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKovshunVietrovK − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.043.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovshunVietrovBasisWin rate · lifetime510 / 972 vs 74 / 13052.5%56.9%510 / 972 vs 74 / 130Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovshunKovshun 1.67/Vietrov 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Kovshun · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vietrov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJun 20 · 08:05Y. Kovshun—113119113V. Vietrov—31191192
Y. Kovshun10
LSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272WSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 07:48A. Kotiash1.91117711113Y. Kovshun1.8091111972LSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko1.36148115113Y. Kovshun3.00121171162LSep 4 · 11:00Y. Kovshun1.8051181182O. Karpenko1.91117116113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.679111111113Y. Kovshun2.1011136912WSep 4 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.401111133A. Troyan2.7588110WSep 4 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.57118841Y. Kovshun2.2591111113WSep 4 · 05:30Y. Kovshun3.00891111133R. Sopivnyk1.36111188112
V. Vietrov10
LJul 25 · 11:35V. Vietrov2.50113971V. Kryvenko1.5031111113WJul 25 · 09:35Y. Volkov1.801111511102V. Vietrov1.91713119123LJul 25 · 08:35V. Vietrov2.75681141A. Lobanov1.4011119113WJul 25 · 07:35Y. Kovshun1.80781181V. Vietrov1.9111116113WJul 25 · 06:05V. Vietrov2.10515118113O. Tymofeev1.67111331192LJun 28 · 12:05V. Vietrov2.10118691A. Troyan1.6771111113WJun 28 · 10:05D. Khairov2.10881101V. Vietrov1.6711112113LJun 28 · 07:05V. Vietrov1.8311115672Y. Volkov1.83531111113WJun 28 · 06:05B. Zaika1.619490V. Vietrov2.201111113WJun 20 · 12:05V. Vietrov1.8011124113D. Khairov1.916101151
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