TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12477636
Played Aug 23Finished
Andrii Droshchynskyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117711411117112
Arsenii Lobanov
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:06 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Droshchynskyi to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
117711411117112
H2H Andrii Droshchynskyi 0–1 Arsenii Lobanov Andrii Droshchynskyi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:06What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Lobanov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Droshchynskyi 1700 vs Lobanov 1631
Droshchynskyi
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Droshchynskyi 80% vs Lobanov 40%
Droshchynskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Droshchynskyi 60% vs Lobanov 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Droshchynskyi +4 · Lobanov -1
Droshchynskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Droshchynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lobanov form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDroshchynskyi 1.83 / Lobanov 1.83
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Droshchynskyi)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12477636
Droshchynskyi1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Lobanov1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDroshchynskyi0wins
AwayLobanov1wins
Lobanov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricDroshchynskyiLobanovD − LBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match31.041.0−10.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDroshchynskyiLobanovBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 184 vs 66 / 12756.5%52%104 / 184 vs 66 / 127Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DroshchynskyiDroshchynskyi 1.83/Lobanov 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Droshchynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Droshchynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJan 3 · 09:35A. Droshchynskyi—81760A. Lobanov—1119113
A. Droshchynskyi10
LSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113LSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 08:00A. Droshchynskyi1.4011511133O. Varlamov2.754111111WSep 6 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn1.61761141A. Droshchynskyi2.2011115113WSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114103A. Droshchynskyi2.20731121WSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:10A. Droshchynskyi1.44111162O. Varlamov2.639860WSep 5 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.509760WAug 29 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.751210671A. Droshchynskyi1.40101211113
A. Lobanov10
LAug 23 · 10:00A. Lobanov1.91115111152Y. Holoborodko1.80411313113WAug 23 · 08:00Y. Kovshun2.2071351132A. Lobanov1.611111112113WAug 23 · 06:00O. Varlamov2.507590A. Lobanov1.501111113LAug 23 · 05:00Y. Bondarenko2.75101211113A. Lobanov1.401210741LAug 20 · 10:30A. Obishchenko1.57127119123A. Lobanov2.251011811102WAug 20 · 09:30A. Lobanov1.40127211113A. Troyan2.75101111932LAug 20 · 08:30A. Lobanov1.50111116592Y. Volkov2.50691811113WAug 20 · 07:00A. Lobanov1.571113113A. Kotiash2.2551170LAug 20 · 05:00A. Lobanov1.8339100Y. Holoborodko1.831111123WAug 8 · 10:35A. Lobanov1.40111110113Y. Volkov2.75711241
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