Arsenii Lobanov vs Yurii Volkov 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #12382006

Played Aug 8Finished

Arsenii Lobanov

Home

1.40

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 4

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1171111012114––

Yurii Volkov

Away

2.75

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 2

How it is goingArsenii Lobanov above · Yurii Volkov below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 11-1

Set 3 · 10-12

Set 4 · 11-4

Point 67 set 4, 11-4

67 points played in total.

H2H Arsenii Lobanov 8–7 Yurii Volkov Yurii Volkov has won 7 of their 15 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Lobanov)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Volkov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLobanov 1.40 / Volkov 2.75

Signal prob.59% / 41%

Edge (Lobanov)-7.0pp (anti-value)

Setka Cup · #12382006

Lobanov1.40

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 4

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite50% won 21 of 42

Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10

Up 1–0, closes it79% 15 of 19

Volkov2.75

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog49% won 66 of 136

Down 0–1, comes back28% 19 of 67

Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeLobanov5wins

AwayVolkov5wins

5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeLobanov80%4 of 5

AwayVolkov80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Lobanov5Volkov5n = 10split evenly

S2Lobanov5Volkov5n = 10split evenly

S3Lobanov7Volkov3n = 10Lobanov took 7 of 10

S4Lobanov3Volkov3n = 6split evenly

S5Lobanov2Volkov3n = 5Volkov took 3 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricLobanovVolkovL − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.438.2+1.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricLobanovVolkovBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 126 vs 423 / 79750.8%53.1%64 / 126 vs 423 / 797Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Lobanov

Lobanov 1.40/Volkov 2.75

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

59.3%

Lobanov · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Lobanov won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 8 · 06:05A. Lobanov—1111113Y. Volkov—9650

WJul 31 · 05:33A. Lobanov—1111811113Y. Volkov—61311792

LJul 27 · 07:05A. Lobanov—119101172Y. Volkov—511129113

LJul 25 · 06:35A. Lobanov—105140Y. Volkov—1211163

LJul 24 · 06:35A. Lobanov—31111972Y. Volkov—117911113

WJul 4 · 04:30A. Lobanov—511114113Y. Volkov—11691182

WApr 11 · 05:05A. Lobanov—1111113Y. Volkov—5690

WApr 4 · 11:05A. Lobanov—1117113Y. Volkov—21570

LMar 14 · 11:30A. Lobanov—89111182Y. Volkov—111197113

LFeb 22 · 06:05A. Lobanov—661171Y. Volkov—11119113

A. Lobanov10

LAug 23 · 11:30A. Droshchynskyi1.83117411113A. Lobanov1.8371111722 LAug 23 · 10:00A. Lobanov1.91115111152Y. Holoborodko1.80411313113 WAug 23 · 08:00Y. Kovshun2.2071351132A. Lobanov1.611111112113 WAug 23 · 06:00O. Varlamov2.507590A. Lobanov1.501111113 LAug 23 · 05:00Y. Bondarenko2.75101211113A. Lobanov1.401210741 LAug 20 · 10:30A. Obishchenko1.57127119123A. Lobanov2.251011811102 WAug 20 · 09:30A. Lobanov1.40127211113A. Troyan2.75101111932 LAug 20 · 08:30A. Lobanov1.50111116592Y. Volkov2.50691811113 WAug 20 · 07:00A. Lobanov1.571113113A. Kotiash2.2551170 LAug 20 · 05:00A. Lobanov1.8339100Y. Holoborodko1.831111123

Y. Volkov10

LSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191 WSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123 WSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170 LSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113 WSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152 LSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113 WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.679111111113Y. Kovshun2.1011136912 LSep 4 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.2011381192R. Sopivnyk1.61611114113 LSep 4 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.6112811752A. Troyan2.201011811113 WAug 20 · 08:30A. Lobanov1.50111116592Y. Volkov2.50691811113

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