TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12477535
Played Aug 23Finished
Oleg Varlamov
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511911––––
Arsenii Lobanov
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:32 and never touched — 71.3% is still 71.3%
Graded at full timeArsenii Lobanov to win
71.3%
71.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
711511911––––
H2H Oleg Varlamov 9–24 Arsenii Lobanov Oleg Varlamov has won 9 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:32What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Lobanov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-24 in 33
Lobanov
Correct
gap of 15 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Varlamov 1595 vs Lobanov 1620
Lobanov
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varlamov 60% vs Lobanov 40%
Varlamov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varlamov 80% vs Lobanov 60%
Varlamov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Varlamov -2 · Lobanov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Lobanov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lobanov form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarlamov 2.50 / Lobanov 1.50
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Lobanov)+8.8pp
Setka Cup · #12477535
Varlamov2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 75 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back31% 25 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 44
Lobanov1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 27 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it77% 20 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVarlamov4wins
AwayLobanov6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLobanov leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVarlamov100%4 of 4
AwayLobanov100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Varlamov4Lobanov6n = 10Lobanov took 6 of 10
S2Varlamov4Lobanov6n = 10Lobanov took 6 of 10
S3Varlamov3Lobanov7n = 10Lobanov took 7 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricVarlamovLobanovV − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match28.931.3−2.4per matchSweeps35−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarlamovLobanovBasisWin rate · lifetime262 / 549 vs 68 / 13247.7%51.5%262 / 549 vs 68 / 132Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobanovVarlamov 2.50/Lobanov 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.3%
Lobanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lobanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 06:00O. Varlamov—7590A. Lobanov—1111113
WJul 26 · 14:10O. Varlamov—1111113A. Lobanov—8890
WJun 7 · 13:10O. Varlamov—1111113A. Lobanov—4360
LMay 28 · 15:40O. Varlamov—6990A. Lobanov—1111113
LMay 17 · 13:40O. Varlamov—4960A. Lobanov—1111113
WMay 14 · 14:10O. Varlamov—127811113A. Lobanov—101111972
LMay 7 · 14:10O. Varlamov—6670A. Lobanov—1111113
LApr 23 · 15:40O. Varlamov—6660A. Lobanov—1111103
LApr 18 · 07:20O. Varlamov—81110101A. Lobanov—11312123
WApr 16 · 16:10O. Varlamov—1112113A. Lobanov—81070
O. Varlamov10
WSep 6 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.803740O. Varlamov1.91111193LSep 6 · 10:00O. Varlamov1.73111112822Y. Holoborodko2.00841411113LSep 6 · 08:00A. Droshchynskyi1.4011511133O. Varlamov2.754111111WSep 6 · 06:00O. Zhyrnov1.8079120O. Varlamov1.911111143LSep 6 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.501111113O. Varlamov2.506750WSep 5 · 17:10O. Varlamov2.0081111113R. Sopivnyk1.73119361LSep 5 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.571111113O. Varlamov2.259560WSep 5 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.80111142Y. Holoborodko1.919851LSep 5 · 13:10A. Droshchynskyi1.44111162O. Varlamov2.639860LSep 5 · 11:40O. Varlamov1.8351090O. Zhyrnov1.83111292
A. Lobanov10
LAug 23 · 11:30A. Droshchynskyi1.83117411113A. Lobanov1.8371111722LAug 23 · 10:00A. Lobanov1.91115111152Y. Holoborodko1.80411313113WAug 23 · 08:00Y. Kovshun2.2071351132A. Lobanov1.611111112113LAug 23 · 05:00Y. Bondarenko2.75101211113A. Lobanov1.401210741LAug 20 · 10:30A. Obishchenko1.57127119123A. Lobanov2.251011811102WAug 20 · 09:30A. Lobanov1.40127211113A. Troyan2.75101111932LAug 20 · 08:30A. Lobanov1.50111116592Y. Volkov2.50691811113WAug 20 · 07:00A. Lobanov1.571113113A. Kotiash2.2551170LAug 20 · 05:00A. Lobanov1.8339100Y. Holoborodko1.831111123WAug 8 · 10:35A. Lobanov1.40111110113Y. Volkov2.75711241
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.