TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472317
Played Aug 22Finished
Vitalii Kryvenko
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116811117118––
Andrii Kotiash
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:12 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kryvenko to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Kryvenko above · Andrii Kotiash below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Vitalii Kryvenko at 66.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kryvenko 5–0 Andrii Kotiash Andrii Kotiash has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:12What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kryvenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Kryvenko
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvenko 1598 vs Kotiash 1537
Kryvenko
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvenko 40% vs Kotiash 20%
Kryvenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvenko 50% vs Kotiash 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvenko -2 · Kotiash -4
Kotiash
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Kryvenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kotiash form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvenko 1.50 / Kotiash 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Kryvenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472317
Kryvenko1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite65% won 41 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it83% 30 of 36
Kotiash2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 63 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back26% 21 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKryvenko5wins
AwayKotiash0wins
3 of 5 to a deciderKryvenko leads 5–0, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvenko100%3 of 3
AwayKotiashn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvenko3Kotiash2n = 5Kryvenko took 3 of 5
S2Kryvenko5Kotiash0n = 5Kryvenko took 5 of 5
S3Kryvenko2Kotiash2n = 4split evenly
S4Kryvenko1Kotiash3n = 4Kotiash took 3 of 4
S5Kryvenko3Kotiash0n = 3Kryvenko took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home360%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKryvenkoKotiashKryvenko − KotiashBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match45.242.8+2.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvenkoKotiashBasisWin rate · lifetime55 / 93 vs 208 / 44159.1%47.2%55 / 93 vs 208 / 441Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvenkoKryvenko 1.50/Kotiash 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Kryvenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kryvenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJul 18 · 09:05V. Kryvenko—111149113A. Kotiash—97111172
WMay 10 · 16:00V. Kryvenko—101211113A. Kotiash—1210991
WMay 3 · 12:30V. Kryvenko—10111110163A. Kotiash—128712142
WMar 15 · 10:50V. Kryvenko—111154193A. Kotiash—971111172
WMar 14 · 17:50V. Kryvenko—11172A. Kotiash—6150
V. Kryvenko10
LAug 22 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.671111113V. Kryvenko2.107890LAug 22 · 09:05V. Kryvenko1.83101251152Y. Volkov1.831210119113LAug 22 · 07:35V. Kryvenko1.5376121192Y. Makovka2.381111107113WAug 22 · 05:35V. Kryvenko1.4091112113A. Troyan2.751181041LAug 15 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko2.6311711113V. Kryvenko1.44911681WAug 15 · 10:35A. Troyan3.0091141132V. Kryvenko1.36118116113WAug 15 · 09:05Y. Kovshun2.0029130V. Kryvenko1.731111152LAug 15 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.631111113V. Kryvenko1.448690LAug 15 · 05:05Y. Volkov2.251112113V. Kryvenko1.5761090WJul 25 · 11:35V. Vietrov2.50113971V. Kryvenko1.5031111113
A. Kotiash10
LSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123LSep 5 · 09:20A. Kotiash4.333640I. Efimenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 07:48A. Kotiash1.91117711113Y. Kovshun1.8091111972LSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113WSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113WSep 4 · 09:30A. Kotiash2.635141211113R. Sopivnyk1.44111610972LSep 4 · 08:30A. Kotiash2.00101050O. Karpenko1.731212113LSep 4 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.57118841Y. Kovshun2.2591111113WSep 4 · 05:00A. Kotiash2.10631211153A. Troyan1.671111107132WSep 2 · 10:30A. Kotiash1.831111711113I. Emets1.8381311572
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.