TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #11718183
Played Apr 9Finished
Oleksii Nadporozhskyi
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8117111113––––
Andrii Derevianko
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingOleksii Nadporozhskyi above · Andrii Derevianko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 61 set 3, 11-13
61 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Nadporozhskyi 24–31 Andrii Derevianko Oleksii Nadporozhskyi has won 24 of their 55 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Derevianko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Derevianko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNadporozhskyi 2.25 / Derevianko 1.57
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Derevianko)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #11718183
Nadporozhskyi2.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Derevianko1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNadporozhskyi5wins
AwayDerevianko5wins
Level at 5–5.
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nadporozhskyi4Derevianko6n = 10Derevianko took 6 of 10
S2Nadporozhskyi4Derevianko6n = 10Derevianko took 6 of 10
S3Nadporozhskyi5Derevianko5n = 10split evenly
S4Nadporozhskyi4Derevianko3n = 7Nadporozhskyi took 4 of 7
S5Nadporozhskyi3Derevianko2n = 5Nadporozhskyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNadporozhskyiDereviankoN − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.738.4−0.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNadporozhskyiDereviankoBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 359 vs 597 / 122635.9%48.7%129 / 359 vs 597 / 1226Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DereviankoNadporozhskyi 2.25/Derevianko 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.9%
Derevianko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Derevianko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
L—O. Nadporozhskyi—0A. Derevianko—3
W—O. Nadporozhskyi—0A. Derevianko—3
L—O. Nadporozhskyi—3A. Derevianko—2
W—O. Nadporozhskyi—2A. Derevianko—3
L—O. Nadporozhskyi—3A. Derevianko—0
L—O. Nadporozhskyi—3A. Derevianko—2
W—O. Nadporozhskyi—3A. Derevianko—2
W—O. Nadporozhskyi—2A. Derevianko—3
L—O. Nadporozhskyi—3A. Derevianko—1
W—O. Nadporozhskyi—3A. Derevianko—1
O. Nadporozhskyi10
WSep 3 · 17:40O. Nadporozhskyi2.1041112113Y. Holoborodko1.671171091LSep 3 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn2.2081111113O. Nadporozhskyi1.61116221WSep 3 · 13:40O. Zhyrnov1.6111951282O. Nadporozhskyi2.204111110113LSep 3 · 12:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.836111181D. Habrelyan1.8311613113WSep 3 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.001211910102O. Nadporozhskyi1.731091112123WAug 6 · 16:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.911111123M. Tiutiunnyk1.8078100LAug 6 · 15:10O. Nadporozhskyi2.007990M. Deineha1.731111113LAug 6 · 13:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.8312911492Y. Holoborodko1.831011411113WAug 6 · 12:10O. Nadporozhskyi1.6712911113Y. Kovshun2.101011591LAug 6 · 10:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.67711241R. Sopivnyk2.1011811113
A. Derevianko10
WSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481WSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 08:20A. Derevianko1.36581111113Y. Skorobahatyi3.0011115492WSep 4 · 06:20A. Derevianko2.6351312123I. Nitchenko1.44111110101LSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113WSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 14:30E. Hrytsenko2.1012211113A. Derevianko1.671011991LSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113
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