TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067581
Played Sep 3Finished
Volodymir Maksuta
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811911––––
Andrii Derevianko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:18 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeAndrii Derevianko to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymir Maksuta above · Andrii Derevianko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Andrii Derevianko at 54.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Volodymir Maksuta 2–7 Andrii Derevianko Volodymir Maksuta has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:18What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Derevianko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Derevianko
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksuta 1658 vs Derevianko 1677
Derevianko
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksuta 40% vs Derevianko 60%
Derevianko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksuta 30% vs Derevianko 60%
Derevianko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksuta -1 · Derevianko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Derevianko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksuta 2.00 / Derevianko 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Derevianko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13067581
Maksuta2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 22 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Derevianko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 79 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it87% 54 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMaksuta2wins
AwayDerevianko7wins
6 of 9 to a deciderDerevianko leads 7–2, and 6 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksuta50%2 of 4
AwayDerevianko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksuta4Derevianko5n = 9Derevianko took 5 of 9
S2Maksuta2Derevianko7n = 9Derevianko took 7 of 9
S3Maksuta4Derevianko5n = 9Derevianko took 5 of 9
S4Maksuta2Derevianko4n = 6Derevianko took 4 of 6
S5Maksuta2Derevianko4n = 6Derevianko took 4 of 6
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away444%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricMaksutaDereviankoM − DBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match38.144.3−6.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksutaDereviankoBasisWin rate · lifetime161 / 276 vs 458 / 96858.3%47.3%161 / 276 vs 458 / 968Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DereviankoMaksuta 2.00/Derevianko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Derevianko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Derevianko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 31 · 16:30V. Maksuta—114118102A. Derevianko—811811123
LAug 27 · 16:30V. Maksuta—1011111162A. Derevianko—128713113
LAug 20 · 16:00V. Maksuta—61040A. Derevianko—1112113
WAug 17 · 14:30V. Maksuta—119711113A. Derevianko—31111882
LAug 14 · 16:30V. Maksuta—3890A. Derevianko—1111113
WAug 6 · 12:30V. Maksuta—111316133A. Derevianko—9111111112
LJul 2 · 16:00V. Maksuta—48150A. Derevianko—1111173
LJun 25 · 21:50V. Maksuta—87111272A. Derevianko—1111410113
LJun 18 · 16:20V. Maksuta—12511982A. Derevianko—1011811113
V. Maksuta10
LSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.00148911102O. Strutinskiy1.731211117123WAug 31 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.83101111113E. Hrytsenko1.83123671LAug 31 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.00114118102A. Derevianko1.73811811123LAug 31 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.807470O. Strutinskiy1.911111113WAug 31 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.331111113Y. Opryshchenko3.255750LAug 31 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.50115991V. Savoliuk1.5091111113LAug 27 · 18:30V. Maksuta1.6713121081O. Strutinskiy2.10111412113
A. Derevianko10
WSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481WSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 08:20A. Derevianko1.36581111113Y. Skorobahatyi3.0011115492WSep 4 · 06:20A. Derevianko2.6351312123I. Nitchenko1.44111110101LSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 14:30E. Hrytsenko2.1012211113A. Derevianko1.671011991LSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113WAug 31 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.00114118102A. Derevianko1.73811811123
Upcoming Matches
V. Maksuta
A. Derevianko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.