TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067274
Played Sep 3Finished
Volodymir Maksuta
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111113118510––
Maksym Deineha
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Deineha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymir Maksuta above · Maksym Deineha below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-10
Point 76 set 4, 5-10 — our read held Maksym Deineha at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Volodymir Maksuta 2–3 Maksym Deineha Volodymir Maksuta has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:07What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Deineha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksuta 1671 vs Deineha 1641
Maksuta
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksuta 40% vs Deineha 60%
Deineha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksuta 40% vs Deineha 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksuta +1 · Deineha +3
Deineha
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Deineha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksuta form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksuta 1.91 / Deineha 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Deineha)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13067274
Maksuta1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 22 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Deineha1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 16 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMaksuta2wins
AwayDeineha3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderDeineha leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksuta66.7%2 of 3
AwayDeinehan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksuta3Deineha2n = 5Maksuta took 3 of 5
S2Maksuta2Deineha3n = 5Deineha took 3 of 5
S3Maksuta2Deineha3n = 5Deineha took 3 of 5
S4Maksuta2Deineha1n = 3Maksuta took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricMaksutaDeinehaM − DBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match37.235.2+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksutaDeinehaBasisWin rate · lifetime161 / 275 vs 33 / 6158.6%54.1%161 / 275 vs 33 / 61Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DeinehaMaksuta 1.91/Deineha 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Deineha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Deineha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 27 · 13:00V. Maksuta—81110101M. Deineha—11612123
LAug 20 · 14:30V. Maksuta—10870M. Deineha—1211113
WAug 14 · 13:00V. Maksuta—1111113M. Deineha—9770
WAug 5 · 17:40V. Maksuta—11611113M. Deineha—811371
LJul 29 · 17:40V. Maksuta—119101192M. Deineha—611129113
V. Maksuta10
LSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113WSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.00148911102O. Strutinskiy1.731211117123WAug 31 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.83101111113E. Hrytsenko1.83123671LAug 31 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.00114118102A. Derevianko1.73811811123LAug 31 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.807470O. Strutinskiy1.911111113WAug 31 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.331111113Y. Opryshchenko3.255750LAug 31 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.50115991V. Savoliuk1.5091111113LAug 27 · 18:30V. Maksuta1.6713121081O. Strutinskiy2.10111412113
M. Deineha10
WSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152WSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113WAug 27 · 19:00M. Deineha2.501212113A. Zozulia1.50101090LAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182LAug 27 · 15:00A. Derevianko1.83111011113M. Deineha1.83712991LAug 27 · 14:00M. Deineha1.9151181232O. Strutinskiy1.801191110113WAug 27 · 13:00V. Maksuta1.8381110101M. Deineha1.8311612123LAug 24 · 19:00Y. Opryshchenko1.9171411113M. Deineha1.801112971
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