TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049290
Played Aug 31Finished
Volodymir Maksuta
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115117115––––
Yehor Opryshchenko
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:24 and never touched — 70.9% is still 70.9%
Graded at full timeVolodymir Maksuta to win
70.9%
70.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymir Maksuta above · Yehor Opryshchenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 50 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Volodymir Maksuta at 70.9%
50 points played in total.
H2H Volodymir Maksuta 2–0 Yehor Opryshchenko Yehor Opryshchenko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:24What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Maksuta
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Maksuta 1664 vs Opryshchenko 1647
Maksuta
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksuta 20% vs Opryshchenko 80%
Opryshchenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksuta 30% vs Opryshchenko 50%
Opryshchenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksuta -3 · Opryshchenko +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Maksuta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Opryshchenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksuta 1.33 / Opryshchenko 3.25
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Maksuta)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13049290
Maksuta1.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 85 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it82% 68 of 83
Opryshchenko3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 10 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back31% 5 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMaksuta2wins
AwayOpryshchenko0wins
Maksuta leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMaksutaOpryshchenkoM − OBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match34.017.5+16.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksutaOpryshchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 269 vs 46 / 9158.7%50.6%158 / 269 vs 46 / 91Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksutaMaksuta 1.33/Opryshchenko 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.9%
Maksuta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Maksuta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 17 · 13:00V. Maksuta—1311113Y. Opryshchenko—11540
WAug 14 · 18:30V. Maksuta—1111113Y. Opryshchenko—8430
V. Maksuta10
LSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113LSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.00148911102O. Strutinskiy1.731211117123WAug 31 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.83101111113E. Hrytsenko1.83123671LAug 31 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.00114118102A. Derevianko1.73811811123LAug 31 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.807470O. Strutinskiy1.911111113LAug 31 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.50115991V. Savoliuk1.5091111113LAug 27 · 18:30V. Maksuta1.6713121081O. Strutinskiy2.10111412113
Y. Opryshchenko10
LSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko1.801111113Y. Skorobahatyi1.915650WSep 4 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko1.9111119113E. Hrytsenko1.80571171WSep 4 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711614113I. Nitchenko2.102111261WSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481LSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152LSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:30E. Hrytsenko1.83119611113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351111842
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