TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073293
Played Sep 4Finished
Yehor Opryshchenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116115––––
Yevhen Skorobahatyi
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYehor Opryshchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYehor Opryshchenko above · Yevhen Skorobahatyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 49 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Yehor Opryshchenko at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Opryshchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Opryshchenko 1632 vs Skorobahatyi 1590
Opryshchenko
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Opryshchenko 60% vs Skorobahatyi 20%
Opryshchenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Opryshchenko 30% vs Skorobahatyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Opryshchenko +3 · Skorobahatyi -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Opryshchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorobahatyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpryshchenko 1.80 / Skorobahatyi 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Opryshchenko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13073293
Opryshchenko1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 38 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it72% 28 of 39
Skorobahatyi1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 19 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpryshchenkoSkorobahatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime53 / 108 vs 135 / 28049.1%48.2%53 / 108 vs 135 / 280Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpryshchenkoOpryshchenko 1.80/Skorobahatyi 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Opryshchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Opryshchenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Y. Opryshchenko10
LSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko1.9111119113E. Hrytsenko1.80571171WSep 4 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711614113I. Nitchenko2.102111261WSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481LSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152LSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:30E. Hrytsenko1.83119611113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351111842LSep 1 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.83911981M. Mrykh1.8311911113
Y. Skorobahatyi10
LSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 09:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.507101271I. Nitchenko1.50111210113LSep 4 · 08:20A. Derevianko1.36581111113Y. Skorobahatyi3.0011115492LSep 4 · 06:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.20913381E. Hrytsenko1.61111111113LAug 27 · 18:00A. Derevianko1.401111113Y. Skorobahatyi2.753680WAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182LAug 27 · 16:00Y. Skorobahatyi2.383540O. Strutinskiy1.531111113WAug 27 · 14:30Y. Skorobahatyi2.751211113V. Maksuta1.4010980LAug 27 · 12:30Y. Skorobahatyi2.638560A. Zozulia1.441111113WAug 7 · 12:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.631211911113I. Nitchenko1.4414811742
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