TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073268
Played Sep 4Finished
Yevhen Skorobahatyi
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111311311811––
Evhenii Hrytsenko
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:31 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeEvhenii Hrytsenko to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Skorobahatyi above · Evhenii Hrytsenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 77 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Evhenii Hrytsenko at 58.1%
77 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Skorobahatyi 8–13 Evhenii Hrytsenko Yevhen Skorobahatyi has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:31What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hrytsenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-13 in 21
Hrytsenko
Correct
gap of 5 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skorobahatyi 1570 vs Hrytsenko 1685
Hrytsenko
Correct
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skorobahatyi 40% vs Hrytsenko 80%
Hrytsenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skorobahatyi 40% vs Hrytsenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skorobahatyi -1 · Hrytsenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Hrytsenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrytsenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkorobahatyi 2.20 / Hrytsenko 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Hrytsenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13073268
Skorobahatyi2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 19 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Hrytsenko1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 60 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it74% 43 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkorobahatyi3wins
AwayHrytsenko7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHrytsenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkorobahatyi75%3 of 4
AwayHrytsenko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skorobahatyi4Hrytsenko6n = 10Hrytsenko took 6 of 10
S2Skorobahatyi4Hrytsenko6n = 10Hrytsenko took 6 of 10
S3Skorobahatyi3Hrytsenko7n = 10Hrytsenko took 7 of 10
S4Skorobahatyi2Hrytsenko4n = 6Hrytsenko took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkorobahatyiHrytsenkoS − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.639.1−6.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkorobahatyiHrytsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 282 vs 318 / 64947.9%49%135 / 282 vs 318 / 649Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrytsenkoSkorobahatyi 2.20/Hrytsenko 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Hrytsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hrytsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 06:50Y. Skorobahatyi—913381E. Hrytsenko—111111113
WAug 4 · 12:50Y. Skorobahatyi—116412113E. Hrytsenko—611111082
LJul 3 · 06:50Y. Skorobahatyi—7770E. Hrytsenko—1111113
LApr 17 · 08:20Y. Skorobahatyi—129551E. Hrytsenko—101111113
WOct 12 · 06:30Y. Skorobahatyi—1112173E. Hrytsenko—610150
LSep 14 · 06:30Y. Skorobahatyi—5840E. Hrytsenko—1111113
LSep 13 · 13:10Y. Skorobahatyi—716100E. Hrytsenko—1118123
WSep 7 · 06:00Y. Skorobahatyi—13811113E. Hrytsenko—1111821
LAug 27 · 15:40Y. Skorobahatyi—51112382E. Hrytsenko—1161011103
LAug 24 · 04:30Y. Skorobahatyi—311471E. Hrytsenko—11711113
Y. Skorobahatyi10
LSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko1.801111113Y. Skorobahatyi1.915650LSep 4 · 09:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.507101271I. Nitchenko1.50111210113LSep 4 · 08:20A. Derevianko1.36581111113Y. Skorobahatyi3.0011115492LAug 27 · 18:00A. Derevianko1.401111113Y. Skorobahatyi2.753680WAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182LAug 27 · 16:00Y. Skorobahatyi2.383540O. Strutinskiy1.531111113WAug 27 · 14:30Y. Skorobahatyi2.751211113V. Maksuta1.4010980LAug 27 · 12:30Y. Skorobahatyi2.638560A. Zozulia1.441111113WAug 7 · 12:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.631211911113I. Nitchenko1.4414811742
E. Hrytsenko10
WSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8011119113I. Nitchenko1.91841131LSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481LSep 4 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko1.9111119113E. Hrytsenko1.80571171LSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113WSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko2.75411147113O. Strutinskiy1.40116121172WSep 3 · 14:30E. Hrytsenko2.1012211113A. Derevianko1.671011991WSep 3 · 12:30E. Hrytsenko1.83119611113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351111842LAug 31 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.83101111113E. Hrytsenko1.83123671
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.