TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067543
Played Sep 3Finished
Evhenii Hrytsenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111214118311––
Maksym Deineha
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Deineha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEvhenii Hrytsenko above · Maksym Deineha below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 75 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Maksym Deineha at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Evhenii Hrytsenko 2–2 Maksym Deineha Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:10What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Deineha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrytsenko 1694 vs Deineha 1654
Hrytsenko
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrytsenko 60% vs Deineha 80%
Deineha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrytsenko 40% vs Deineha 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrytsenko +3 · Deineha +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Deineha) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Deineha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrytsenko 2.10 / Deineha 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Deineha)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13067543
Hrytsenko2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 81 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back29% 27 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back15% 8 of 53
Deineha1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 16 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHrytsenko2wins
AwayDeineha2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrytsenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayDeineha66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrytsenko1Deineha3n = 4Deineha took 3 of 4
S2Hrytsenko2Deineha2n = 4split evenly
S3Hrytsenko1Deineha3n = 4Deineha took 3 of 4
S4Hrytsenko3Deineha0n = 3Hrytsenko took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricHrytsenkoDeinehaH − DBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match42.841.0+1.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrytsenkoDeinehaBasisWin rate · lifetime315 / 642 vs 34 / 6249.1%54.8%315 / 642 vs 34 / 62Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DeinehaHrytsenko 2.10/Deineha 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Deineha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Deineha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 24 · 13:30E. Hrytsenko—712912113M. Deineha—1110111072
WAug 21 · 10:20E. Hrytsenko—111110153M. Deineha—5612131
LAug 10 · 14:30E. Hrytsenko—9990M. Deineha—1111113
LJul 29 · 14:10E. Hrytsenko—99111162M. Deineha—111176113
E. Hrytsenko10
WSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8011119113I. Nitchenko1.91841131LSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481LSep 4 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko1.9111119113E. Hrytsenko1.80571171LSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113WSep 4 · 06:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.20913381E. Hrytsenko1.61111111113WSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113WSep 3 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko2.75411147113O. Strutinskiy1.40116121172WSep 3 · 14:30E. Hrytsenko2.1012211113A. Derevianko1.671011991WSep 3 · 12:30E. Hrytsenko1.83119611113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351111842LAug 31 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.83101111113E. Hrytsenko1.83123671
M. Deineha10
WSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152WSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113WAug 27 · 19:00M. Deineha2.501212113A. Zozulia1.50101090LAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182LAug 27 · 15:00A. Derevianko1.83111011113M. Deineha1.83712991LAug 27 · 14:00M. Deineha1.9151181232O. Strutinskiy1.801191110113WAug 27 · 13:00V. Maksuta1.8381110101M. Deineha1.8311612123LAug 24 · 19:00Y. Opryshchenko1.9171411113M. Deineha1.801112971
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