TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067664
Played Sep 3Finished
Andrii Derevianko
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1158118111311611
Maksym Deineha
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:40 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeAndrii Derevianko to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Derevianko above · Maksym Deineha below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 95 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Andrii Derevianko at 57.8%
95 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Derevianko 5–1 Maksym Deineha Maksym Deineha has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:40What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Derevianko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Derevianko
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Derevianko 1690 vs Deineha 1613
Derevianko
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevianko 60% vs Deineha 40%
Derevianko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevianko 60% vs Deineha 30%
Derevianko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevianko +3 · Deineha +1
Derevianko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Derevianko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevianko 1.67 / Deineha 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Derevianko)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13067664
Derevianko1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 79 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it87% 54 of 62
Deineha2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 15 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back27% 6 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeDerevianko5wins
AwayDeineha1wins
3 of 6 to a deciderDerevianko leads 5–1, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDerevianko100%5 of 5
AwayDeinehan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevianko5Deineha1n = 6Derevianko took 5 of 6
S2Derevianko2Deineha4n = 6Deineha took 4 of 6
S3Derevianko1Deineha5n = 6Deineha took 5 of 6
S4Derevianko4Deineha1n = 5Derevianko took 4 of 5
S5Derevianko3Deineha0n = 3Derevianko took 3 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home350%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricDereviankoDeinehaDerevianko − DeinehaBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match41.540.8+0.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDereviankoDeinehaBasisWin rate · lifetime460 / 969 vs 31 / 5947.5%52.5%460 / 969 vs 31 / 59Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DereviankoDerevianko 1.67/Deineha 2.10
Miss
What we said
57.8%
Derevianko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Deineha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 27 · 15:00A. Derevianko—111011113M. Deineha—712991
LAug 24 · 15:30A. Derevianko—3450M. Deineha—1111113
WAug 21 · 05:50A. Derevianko—111178113M. Deineha—97111172
WAug 20 · 18:30A. Derevianko—169911113M. Deineha—141111672
WAug 14 · 15:00A. Derevianko—118611113M. Deineha—61111992
WAug 10 · 16:30A. Derevianko—111110113M. Deineha—781281
A. Derevianko10
WSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481WSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 08:20A. Derevianko1.36581111113Y. Skorobahatyi3.0011115492WSep 4 · 06:20A. Derevianko2.6351312123I. Nitchenko1.44111110101LSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113WSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 14:30E. Hrytsenko2.1012211113A. Derevianko1.671011991WSep 1 · 12:50A. Derevianko1.9115511113A. Nazarov1.801311861
M. Deineha10
WSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152WSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WAug 27 · 19:00M. Deineha2.501212113A. Zozulia1.50101090LAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182LAug 27 · 15:00A. Derevianko1.83111011113M. Deineha1.83712991LAug 27 · 14:00M. Deineha1.9151181232O. Strutinskiy1.801191110113WAug 27 · 13:00V. Maksuta1.8381110101M. Deineha1.8311612123LAug 24 · 19:00Y. Opryshchenko1.9171411113M. Deineha1.801112971
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