TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12482447
Played Aug 24Finished
Yehor Opryshchenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111412119117––
Maksym Deineha
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:17 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Deineha to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYehor Opryshchenko above · Maksym Deineha below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 82 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Maksym Deineha at 57.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Yehor Opryshchenko 1–1 Maksym Deineha Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:17What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Deineha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Opryshchenko 1580 vs Deineha 1628
Deineha
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Opryshchenko 0% vs Deineha 20%
Deineha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Opryshchenko 30% vs Deineha 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Opryshchenko -5 · Deineha -1
Opryshchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Deineha) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Deineha form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpryshchenko 1.91 / Deineha 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Deineha)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12482447
Opryshchenko1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 8 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back33% 4 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Deineha1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite76% won 16 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeOpryshchenko1wins
AwayDeineha1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricOpryshchenkoDeinehaO − DBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match37.537.50.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpryshchenkoDeinehaBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 84 vs 29 / 5348.8%54.7%41 / 84 vs 29 / 53Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DeinehaOpryshchenko 1.91/Deineha 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Deineha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Opryshchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 14 · 14:00Y. Opryshchenko—811691M. Deineha—11711113
WJul 11 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko—81111113M. Deineha—116991
Y. Opryshchenko10
LSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko1.801111113Y. Skorobahatyi1.915650WSep 4 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko1.9111119113E. Hrytsenko1.80571171WSep 4 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711614113I. Nitchenko2.102111261WSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481LSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152LSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:30E. Hrytsenko1.83119611113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351111842
M. Deineha10
WSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152WSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113WAug 27 · 19:00M. Deineha2.501212113A. Zozulia1.50101090LAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182LAug 27 · 15:00A. Derevianko1.83111011113M. Deineha1.83712991LAug 27 · 14:00M. Deineha1.9151181232O. Strutinskiy1.801191110113WAug 27 · 13:00V. Maksuta1.8381110101M. Deineha1.8311612123
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