TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072999
Played Sep 4Finished
Yehor Opryshchenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115117911117––
Evhenii Hrytsenko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeEvhenii Hrytsenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYehor Opryshchenko above · Evhenii Hrytsenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 72 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Evhenii Hrytsenko at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Yehor Opryshchenko 2–4 Evhenii Hrytsenko Yehor Opryshchenko has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:53What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hrytsenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Hrytsenko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Opryshchenko 1617 vs Hrytsenko 1701
Hrytsenko
Wrong
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Opryshchenko 40% vs Hrytsenko 60%
Hrytsenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Opryshchenko 20% vs Hrytsenko 50%
Hrytsenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Opryshchenko +2 · Hrytsenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hrytsenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Opryshchenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpryshchenko 1.91 / Hrytsenko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hrytsenko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13072999
Opryshchenko1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 12 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back25% 5 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Hrytsenko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 58 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it73% 41 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeOpryshchenko2wins
AwayHrytsenko4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderHrytsenko leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOpryshchenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHrytsenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Opryshchenko1Hrytsenko5n = 6Hrytsenko took 5 of 6
S2Opryshchenko3Hrytsenko3n = 6split evenly
S3Opryshchenko5Hrytsenko1n = 6Opryshchenko took 5 of 6
S4Opryshchenko2Hrytsenko2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricOpryshchenkoHrytsenkoO − HBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match33.737.3−3.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpryshchenkoHrytsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 107 vs 317 / 64648.6%49.1%52 / 107 vs 317 / 646Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrytsenkoOpryshchenko 1.91/Hrytsenko 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hrytsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Opryshchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 3 · 12:30Y. Opryshchenko—51111842E. Hrytsenko—119611113
WAug 31 · 12:30Y. Opryshchenko—1111133E. Hrytsenko—89110
LAug 25 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko—94111192E. Hrytsenko—111164113
LAug 24 · 15:00Y. Opryshchenko—741191E. Hrytsenko—11119113
LAug 18 · 12:50Y. Opryshchenko—6250E. Hrytsenko—1111113
WAug 17 · 15:00Y. Opryshchenko—71111113E. Hrytsenko—119461
Y. Opryshchenko10
LSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko1.801111113Y. Skorobahatyi1.915650WSep 4 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711614113I. Nitchenko2.102111261WSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481LSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152LSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:30E. Hrytsenko1.83119611113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351111842LSep 1 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.83911981M. Mrykh1.8311911113
E. Hrytsenko10
WSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8011119113I. Nitchenko1.91841131LSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481LSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113WSep 4 · 06:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.20913381E. Hrytsenko1.61111111113WSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko2.75411147113O. Strutinskiy1.40116121172WSep 3 · 14:30E. Hrytsenko2.1012211113A. Derevianko1.671011991WSep 3 · 12:30E. Hrytsenko1.83119611113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351111842LAug 31 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.83101111113E. Hrytsenko1.83123671
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