TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067658
Played Sep 3Finished
Evhenii Hrytsenko
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4111161412711117
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:29 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Strutinskiy to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingEvhenii Hrytsenko above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 94 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Strutinskiy at 68.7%
94 points played in total.
H2H Evhenii Hrytsenko 7–26 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Evhenii Hrytsenko has won 7 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:29What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Strutinskiy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-26 in 33
Strutinskiy
Wrong
gap of 19 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrytsenko 1682 vs Strutinskiy 1736
Strutinskiy
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrytsenko 40% vs Strutinskiy 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrytsenko 30% vs Strutinskiy 60%
Strutinskiy
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrytsenko +2 · Strutinskiy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Strutinskiy) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strutinskiy form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrytsenko 2.75 / Strutinskiy 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Strutinskiy)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13067658
Hrytsenko2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 81 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back29% 27 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back15% 8 of 53
Strutinskiy1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 148 of 235
Up 2–0, closes it88% 77 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it74% 106 of 143
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrytsenko4wins
AwayStrutinskiy6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderStrutinskiy leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrytsenko25%1 of 4
AwayStrutinskiy50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrytsenko4Strutinskiy6n = 10Strutinskiy took 6 of 10
S2Hrytsenko2Strutinskiy8n = 10Strutinskiy took 8 of 10
S3Hrytsenko6Strutinskiy4n = 10Hrytsenko took 6 of 10
S4Hrytsenko5Strutinskiy3n = 8Hrytsenko took 5 of 8
S5Hrytsenko2Strutinskiy3n = 5Strutinskiy took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrytsenkoStrutinskiyH − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.939.7−3.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrytsenkoStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime314 / 641 vs 395 / 77349%51.1%314 / 641 vs 395 / 773Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrutinskiyHrytsenko 2.75/Strutinskiy 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.9%
Strutinskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hrytsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko—33111112O. Strutinskiy—111169113
LAug 28 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko—1110111262O. Strutinskiy—412314113
LAug 25 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko—1410551O. Strutinskiy—121211113
WAug 24 · 12:00E. Hrytsenko—491112113O. Strutinskiy—111181072
LAug 21 · 06:50E. Hrytsenko—9720O. Strutinskiy—1111113
WAug 18 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko—11911113O. Strutinskiy—711551
WAug 17 · 13:30E. Hrytsenko—311115113O. Strutinskiy—11971162
WAug 11 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko—61111113O. Strutinskiy—116921
LAug 10 · 12:30E. Hrytsenko—11871132O. Strutinskiy—611117113
LAug 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko—6850O. Strutinskiy—1111113
E. Hrytsenko10
WSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8011119113I. Nitchenko1.91841131LSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481LSep 4 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko1.9111119113E. Hrytsenko1.80571171LSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113WSep 4 · 06:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.20913381E. Hrytsenko1.61111111113WSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 14:30E. Hrytsenko2.1012211113A. Derevianko1.671011991WSep 3 · 12:30E. Hrytsenko1.83119611113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351111842LAug 31 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.83101111113E. Hrytsenko1.83123671
O. Strutinskiy10
WSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.101111113O. Strutinskiy1.676580LSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113LSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481WSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.00148911102O. Strutinskiy1.731211117123LSep 1 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4061113133O. Strutinskiy2.7511711111
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