TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073485
Played Sep 4Finished
Ivan Nitchenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116115118––––
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:18 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Strutinskiy to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingIvan Nitchenko above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 52 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Oleksandr Strutinskiy at 59.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Nitchenko 17–21 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Ivan Nitchenko has won 17 of their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:18What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Strutinskiy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-21 in 38
Strutinskiy
Wrong
gap of 4 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nitchenko 1564 vs Strutinskiy 1726
Strutinskiy
Wrong
both rated, 162 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nitchenko 40% vs Strutinskiy 60%
Strutinskiy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nitchenko 20% vs Strutinskiy 50%
Strutinskiy
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nitchenko +1 · Strutinskiy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Strutinskiy)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNitchenko 2.10 / Strutinskiy 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Strutinskiy)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13073485
Nitchenko2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 42 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back26% 14 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 32
Strutinskiy1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 150 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it87% 77 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it73% 107 of 146
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNitchenko5wins
AwayStrutinskiy5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNitchenko50%3 of 6
AwayStrutinskiy50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nitchenko6Strutinskiy4n = 10Nitchenko took 6 of 10
S2Nitchenko4Strutinskiy6n = 10Strutinskiy took 6 of 10
S3Nitchenko4Strutinskiy6n = 10Strutinskiy took 6 of 10
S4Nitchenko4Strutinskiy5n = 9Strutinskiy took 5 of 9
S5Nitchenko2Strutinskiy1n = 3Nitchenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNitchenkoStrutinskiyN − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.639.0−1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNitchenkoStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 380 vs 398 / 77948.7%51.1%185 / 380 vs 398 / 779Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrutinskiyNitchenko 2.10/Strutinskiy 1.67
Miss
What we said
59%
Strutinskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nitchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 12:50I. Nitchenko—1166101O. Strutinskiy—91111123
LAug 11 · 05:50I. Nitchenko—116371O. Strutinskiy—41111113
WAug 7 · 11:20I. Nitchenko—151014113O. Strutinskiy—13121241
WAug 4 · 05:50I. Nitchenko—11113113O. Strutinskiy—931191
LJul 21 · 05:50I. Nitchenko—6850O. Strutinskiy—1111113
WJul 17 · 15:30I. Nitchenko—61111123O. Strutinskiy—1186101
LJul 14 · 07:50I. Nitchenko—811891O. Strutinskiy—11811113
LJul 10 · 10:35I. Nitchenko—11711762O. Strutinskiy—511711113
WJul 7 · 12:20I. Nitchenko—118611113O. Strutinskiy—71111882
WJun 26 · 08:20I. Nitchenko—511118113O. Strutinskiy—11931142
I. Nitchenko10
LSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8011119113I. Nitchenko1.91841131WSep 4 · 09:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.507101271I. Nitchenko1.50111210113LSep 4 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711614113I. Nitchenko2.102111261LSep 4 · 06:20A. Derevianko2.6351312123I. Nitchenko1.44111110101LAug 21 · 12:50O. Strutinskiy1.7391111123I. Nitchenko2.001166101WAug 21 · 11:20I. Nitchenko1.57113116113A. Derevianko2.2591181172LAug 21 · 09:20E. Hrytsenko1.8311115113I. Nitchenko1.83581141LAug 21 · 07:20M. Deineha1.80611811113I. Nitchenko1.9111911292LAug 21 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.50119711213I. Nitchenko2.50711115192LAug 11 · 11:50I. Nitchenko1.406940A. Derevianko2.751111113
O. Strutinskiy10
WSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113LSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481WSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko2.75411147113O. Strutinskiy1.40116121172LSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.00148911102O. Strutinskiy1.731211117123WAug 21 · 12:50O. Strutinskiy1.7391111123I. Nitchenko2.001166101
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