TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12467075
Played Aug 21Finished
Maksym Deineha
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611119811112119
Ivan Nitchenko
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeMaksym Deineha to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingMaksym Deineha above · Ivan Nitchenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 89 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Maksym Deineha at 58.5%
89 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:01What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Deineha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Deineha 1666 vs Nitchenko 1581
Deineha
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Deineha 40% vs Nitchenko 0%
Deineha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Deineha 40% vs Nitchenko 20%
Deineha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Deineha -3 · Nitchenko -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Deineha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nitchenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDeineha 1.80 / Nitchenko 1.91
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Deineha)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12467075
Deineha1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite82% won 14 of 17
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Nitchenko1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 49 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back30% 17 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back15% 5 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDeinehaNitchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime26 / 45 vs 186 / 37857.8%49.2%26 / 45 vs 186 / 378Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DeinehaDeineha 1.80/Nitchenko 1.91
Hit
What we said
58.5%
Deineha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Deineha won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Deineha10
WSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152WSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113WAug 27 · 19:00M. Deineha2.501212113A. Zozulia1.50101090LAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182LAug 27 · 15:00A. Derevianko1.83111011113M. Deineha1.83712991LAug 27 · 14:00M. Deineha1.9151181232O. Strutinskiy1.801191110113WAug 27 · 13:00V. Maksuta1.8381110101M. Deineha1.8311612123
I. Nitchenko10
LSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8011119113I. Nitchenko1.91841131WSep 4 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.101111113O. Strutinskiy1.676580WSep 4 · 09:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.507101271I. Nitchenko1.50111210113LSep 4 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711614113I. Nitchenko2.102111261LSep 4 · 06:20A. Derevianko2.6351312123I. Nitchenko1.44111110101LAug 21 · 12:50O. Strutinskiy1.7391111123I. Nitchenko2.001166101WAug 21 · 11:20I. Nitchenko1.57113116113A. Derevianko2.2591181172LAug 21 · 09:20E. Hrytsenko1.8311115113I. Nitchenko1.83581141LAug 21 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.50119711213I. Nitchenko2.50711115192LAug 11 · 11:50I. Nitchenko1.406940A. Derevianko2.751111113
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