TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073290
Played Sep 4Finished
Yehor Opryshchenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1126111412116––
Ivan Nitchenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:39 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeYehor Opryshchenko to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYehor Opryshchenko above · Ivan Nitchenko below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Yehor Opryshchenko at 55.8%
73 points played in total.
H2H Yehor Opryshchenko 3–1 Ivan Nitchenko Ivan Nitchenko has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:39What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Opryshchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Opryshchenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Opryshchenko 1644 vs Nitchenko 1575
Opryshchenko
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Opryshchenko 20% vs Nitchenko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Opryshchenko 20% vs Nitchenko 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Opryshchenko +1 · Nitchenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Opryshchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nitchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpryshchenko 1.67 / Nitchenko 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Opryshchenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13073290
Opryshchenko1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite53% won 41 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it71% 30 of 42
Nitchenko2.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 43 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back26% 14 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeOpryshchenko3wins
AwayNitchenko1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderOpryshchenko leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOpryshchenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayNitchenko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Opryshchenko1Nitchenko3n = 4Nitchenko took 3 of 4
S2Opryshchenko2Nitchenko2n = 4split evenly
S3Opryshchenko3Nitchenko1n = 4Opryshchenko took 3 of 4
S4Opryshchenko2Nitchenko1n = 3Opryshchenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricOpryshchenkoNitchenkoO − NBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match40.034.5+5.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpryshchenkoNitchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 110 vs 186 / 38249.1%48.7%54 / 110 vs 186 / 382Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpryshchenkoOpryshchenko 1.67/Nitchenko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.6%
Opryshchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Opryshchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 4 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko—11614113I. Nitchenko—2111261
WJul 31 · 07:50Y. Opryshchenko—7111211113I. Nitchenko—118101382
WJul 28 · 11:29Y. Opryshchenko—81111113I. Nitchenko—114431
LJul 28 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko—105100I. Nitchenko—1211123
Y. Opryshchenko10
LSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko1.801111113Y. Skorobahatyi1.915650WSep 4 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko1.9111119113E. Hrytsenko1.80571171WSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481LSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152LSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:30E. Hrytsenko1.83119611113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351111842LSep 1 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.83911981M. Mrykh1.8311911113
I. Nitchenko10
LSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8011119113I. Nitchenko1.91841131WSep 4 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.101111113O. Strutinskiy1.676580WSep 4 · 09:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.507101271I. Nitchenko1.50111210113LSep 4 · 06:20A. Derevianko2.6351312123I. Nitchenko1.44111110101LAug 21 · 12:50O. Strutinskiy1.7391111123I. Nitchenko2.001166101WAug 21 · 11:20I. Nitchenko1.57113116113A. Derevianko2.2591181172LAug 21 · 09:20E. Hrytsenko1.8311115113I. Nitchenko1.83581141LAug 21 · 07:20M. Deineha1.80611811113I. Nitchenko1.9111911292LAug 21 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.50119711213I. Nitchenko2.50711115192LAug 11 · 11:50I. Nitchenko1.406940A. Derevianko2.751111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.