TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055355
Played Sep 1Finished
Yehor Opryshchenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119911811––
Maksym Mrykh
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Mrykh to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingYehor Opryshchenko above · Maksym Mrykh below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 79 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Maksym Mrykh at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Yehor Opryshchenko 1–4 Maksym Mrykh Yehor Opryshchenko has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Mrykh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Mrykh
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Opryshchenko 1660 vs Mrykh 1692
Mrykh
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Opryshchenko 40% vs Mrykh 60%
Mrykh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Opryshchenko 60% vs Mrykh 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Opryshchenko -2 · Mrykh -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mrykh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Opryshchenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpryshchenko 1.83 / Mrykh 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mrykh)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13055355
Opryshchenko1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Mrykh1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeOpryshchenko1wins
AwayMrykh4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderMrykh leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOpryshchenko33.3%1 of 3
AwayMrykhn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Opryshchenko3Mrykh2n = 5Opryshchenko took 3 of 5
S2Opryshchenko0Mrykh5n = 5Mrykh took 5 of 5
S3Opryshchenko3Mrykh2n = 5Opryshchenko took 3 of 5
S4Opryshchenko0Mrykh5n = 5Mrykh took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away480%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricOpryshchenkoMrykhO − MBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match38.044.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpryshchenkoMrykhBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 99 vs 223 / 49050.5%45.5%50 / 99 vs 223 / 490Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrykhOpryshchenko 1.83/Mrykh 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mrykh · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mrykh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 18 · 06:20Y. Opryshchenko—185861M. Mrykh—161111113
LAug 15 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko—971181M. Mrykh—11117113
LAug 1 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko—113891M. Mrykh—61111113
WJul 28 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko—1210115113M. Mrykh—101281172
LJul 27 · 15:00Y. Opryshchenko—7111191M. Mrykh—11139113
Y. Opryshchenko10
LSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko1.801111113Y. Skorobahatyi1.915650WSep 4 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko1.9111119113E. Hrytsenko1.80571171WSep 4 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711614113I. Nitchenko2.102111261WSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481LSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152LSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:30E. Hrytsenko1.83119611113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351111842
M. Mrykh10
LSep 1 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.201131191A. Derevianko1.6171113113WSep 1 · 09:50M. Mrykh2.20111410113O. Strutinskiy1.616121271WSep 1 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.83511117113V. Savoliuk1.8311961132LSep 1 · 06:20M. Mrykh2.00111161092A. Nazarov1.73991112113WAug 21 · 11:50M. Deineha1.5791180M. Mrykh2.251113113WAug 21 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.3811411113O. Strutinskiy1.53711671WAug 21 · 09:50M. Mrykh2.25111239113A. Derevianko1.57810111182WAug 21 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.671111113E. Hrytsenko2.109860WAug 21 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.50119711213I. Nitchenko2.50711115192LAug 20 · 19:00M. Mrykh2.1033100O. Strutinskiy1.671111123
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