TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12466903
Played Aug 21Finished
Maksym Deineha
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111113811––––
Maksym Mrykh
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:12 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeMaksym Deineha to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMaksym Deineha above · Maksym Mrykh below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 63 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Maksym Deineha at 60.9%
63 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Deineha 1–0 Maksym Mrykh Maksym Mrykh has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:12What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Deineha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Deineha 1674 vs Mrykh 1662
Deineha
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Deineha 40% vs Mrykh 80%
Mrykh
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Deineha 50% vs Mrykh 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Deineha -1 · Mrykh +4
Mrykh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Deineha) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrykh form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDeineha 1.57 / Mrykh 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Deineha)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12466903
Deineha1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite82% won 14 of 17
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Mrykh2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 24 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back12% 4 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDeineha1wins
AwayMrykh0wins
Deineha leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDeinehaMrykhD − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.032.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDeinehaMrykhBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 48 vs 228 / 51058.3%44.7%28 / 48 vs 228 / 510Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DeinehaDeineha 1.57/Mrykh 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Deineha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mrykh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 20 · 13:00M. Deineha—11911113M. Mrykh—611871
M. Deineha10
WSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152WSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113WAug 27 · 19:00M. Deineha2.501212113A. Zozulia1.50101090LAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182LAug 27 · 15:00A. Derevianko1.83111011113M. Deineha1.83712991LAug 27 · 14:00M. Deineha1.9151181232O. Strutinskiy1.801191110113WAug 27 · 13:00V. Maksuta1.8381110101M. Deineha1.8311612123
M. Mrykh10
WSep 1 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.83911981M. Mrykh1.8311911113LSep 1 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.201131191A. Derevianko1.6171113113WSep 1 · 09:50M. Mrykh2.20111410113O. Strutinskiy1.616121271WSep 1 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.83511117113V. Savoliuk1.8311961132LSep 1 · 06:20M. Mrykh2.00111161092A. Nazarov1.73991112113WAug 21 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.3811411113O. Strutinskiy1.53711671WAug 21 · 09:50M. Mrykh2.25111239113A. Derevianko1.57810111182WAug 21 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.671111113E. Hrytsenko2.109860WAug 21 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.50119711213I. Nitchenko2.50711115192LAug 20 · 19:00M. Mrykh2.1033100O. Strutinskiy1.671111123
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