TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055035
Played Sep 1Finished
Maksym Mrykh
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511119116711113
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMaksym Mrykh above · Volodymyr Savoliuk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 85 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Mrykh 8–3 Volodymyr Savoliuk Volodymyr Savoliuk has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:57What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Savoliuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-3 in 11
Mrykh
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrykh 1691 vs Savoliuk 1749
Savoliuk
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrykh 80% vs Savoliuk 40%
Mrykh
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrykh 60% vs Savoliuk 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrykh -1 · Savoliuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Savoliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Savoliuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrykh 1.83 / Savoliuk 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Savoliuk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13055035
Mrykh1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Savoliuk1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrykh7wins
AwaySavoliuk3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderMrykh leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrykh75%3 of 4
AwaySavoliuk33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrykh4Savoliuk6n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10
S2Mrykh10Savoliuk0n = 10Mrykh took 10 of 10
S3Mrykh5Savoliuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Mrykh3Savoliuk6n = 9Savoliuk took 6 of 9
S5Mrykh4Savoliuk2n = 6Mrykh took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrykhSavoliukM − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.840.6+3.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrykhSavoliukBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 489 vs 286 / 50045.4%57.2%222 / 489 vs 286 / 500Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukMrykh 1.83/Savoliuk 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mrykh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 08:20M. Mrykh—511117113V. Savoliuk—11961132
WAug 15 · 08:50M. Mrykh—11115113V. Savoliuk—991181
LNov 19 · 08:50M. Mrykh—4121181V. Savoliuk—111013113
LOct 8 · 09:20M. Mrykh—1111115122V. Savoliuk—136711143
WOct 7 · 17:20M. Mrykh—1111113V. Savoliuk—1890
LSep 8 · 13:10M. Mrykh—111110752V. Savoliuk—851211113
WFeb 20 · 17:10M. Mrykh—101411153V. Savoliuk—12124131
WFeb 18 · 13:50M. Mrykh—111142113V. Savoliuk—67111182
WFeb 17 · 15:50M. Mrykh—811911133V. Savoliuk—113119112
WFeb 16 · 15:10M. Mrykh—9111110113V. Savoliuk—11751242
M. Mrykh10
WSep 1 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.83911981M. Mrykh1.8311911113LSep 1 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.201131191A. Derevianko1.6171113113WSep 1 · 09:50M. Mrykh2.20111410113O. Strutinskiy1.616121271LSep 1 · 06:20M. Mrykh2.00111161092A. Nazarov1.73991112113WAug 21 · 11:50M. Deineha1.5791180M. Mrykh2.251113113WAug 21 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.3811411113O. Strutinskiy1.53711671WAug 21 · 09:50M. Mrykh2.25111239113A. Derevianko1.57810111182WAug 21 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.671111113E. Hrytsenko2.109860WAug 21 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.50119711213I. Nitchenko2.50711115192LAug 20 · 19:00M. Mrykh2.1033100O. Strutinskiy1.671111123
V. Savoliuk10
WSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961LSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060LSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113LSep 4 · 11:40V. Marushchak1.571111113V. Savoliuk2.259750WSep 1 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4061113133O. Strutinskiy2.7511711111WSep 1 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko2.0014911652V. Savoliuk1.731211811113WSep 1 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.611111113A. Nazarov2.202940WSep 1 · 06:50V. Savoliuk1.53111112123A. Derevianko2.386914101LAug 31 · 18:30A. Derevianko2.501112113V. Savoliuk1.5081060
Upcoming Matches
M. Mrykh
V. Savoliuk
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.