TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073167
Played Sep 4Finished
Andrii Hrabskyi
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191210116––––
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:19 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeAndrii Hrabskyi to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Hrabskyi above · Volodymyr Savoliuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 59 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Andrii Hrabskyi at 54.9%
59 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Hrabskyi 9–2 Volodymyr Savoliuk Volodymyr Savoliuk has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:19What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hrabskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-2 in 11
Hrabskyi
Correct
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabskyi 1653 vs Savoliuk 1726
Savoliuk
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabskyi 40% vs Savoliuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabskyi 30% vs Savoliuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabskyi +1 · Savoliuk -3
Savoliuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hrabskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrabskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabskyi 1.61 / Savoliuk 2.20
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Hrabskyi)-0.9pp
Setka Cup · #13073167
Hrabskyi1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite49% won 61 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it71% 47 of 66
Savoliuk2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 12 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back8% 2 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrabskyi9wins
AwaySavoliuk1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHrabskyi leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabskyi87.5%7 of 8
AwaySavoliukn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabskyi8Savoliuk2n = 10Hrabskyi took 8 of 10
S2Hrabskyi9Savoliuk1n = 10Hrabskyi took 9 of 10
S3Hrabskyi4Savoliuk6n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10
S4Hrabskyi6Savoliuk1n = 7Hrabskyi took 6 of 7
S5Hrabskyi2Savoliuk1n = 3Hrabskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrabskyiSavoliukH − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.236.4+5.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabskyiSavoliukBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 499 vs 290 / 50843.9%57.1%219 / 499 vs 290 / 508Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrabskyiHrabskyi 1.61/Savoliuk 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.8%
Hrabskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hrabskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi—1112113V. Savoliuk—91060
WJul 8 · 09:50A. Hrabskyi—1111113V. Savoliuk—7470
WJul 1 · 07:50A. Hrabskyi—11126113V. Savoliuk—8101171
WJun 29 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi—11119113V. Savoliuk—581181
WJun 22 · 17:10A. Hrabskyi—1113106113V. Savoliuk—611121142
WFeb 25 · 09:50A. Hrabskyi—11117143V. Savoliuk—8911121
WFeb 11 · 13:20A. Hrabskyi—101112113V. Savoliuk—1261091
WFeb 10 · 22:20A. Hrabskyi—1111113V. Savoliuk—9990
LFeb 4 · 13:20A. Hrabskyi—11981192V. Savoliuk—811115113
WFeb 3 · 17:50A. Hrabskyi—611512203V. Savoliuk—1191110182
A. Hrabskyi10
WSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113WSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100LSep 4 · 13:10A. Hrabskyi1.9185110V. Marushchak1.801111133LSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123LSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113WSep 2 · 10:50V. Marushchak1.80111311982A. Hrabskyi1.91915811113LSep 2 · 08:50Y. Shmyndra1.809111211113A. Hrabskyi1.91114101392LSep 1 · 18:00A. Hrabskyi1.911071241V. Marushchak1.80121110113LSep 1 · 16:30A. Hrabskyi1.839101161Y. Shmyndra1.8311127113WSep 1 · 15:00A. Hrabskyi1.911191111123A. Yurkov1.80911813102
V. Savoliuk10
WSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961LSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113LSep 4 · 11:40V. Marushchak1.571111113V. Savoliuk2.259750WSep 1 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4061113133O. Strutinskiy2.7511711111WSep 1 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko2.0014911652V. Savoliuk1.731211811113WSep 1 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.611111113A. Nazarov2.202940LSep 1 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.83511117113V. Savoliuk1.8311961132WSep 1 · 06:50V. Savoliuk1.53111112123A. Derevianko2.386914101LAug 31 · 18:30A. Derevianko2.501112113V. Savoliuk1.5081060
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