TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073061
Played Sep 4Finished
Vladimir Voronenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911116117711811
Andrii Hrabskyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeAndrii Hrabskyi to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Voronenko above · Andrii Hrabskyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Andrii Hrabskyi at 56.1%
92 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Voronenko 20–24 Andrii Hrabskyi Vladimir Voronenko has won 20 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:09What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hrabskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-24 in 44
Hrabskyi
Correct
gap of 4 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voronenko 1671 vs Hrabskyi 1627
Voronenko
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voronenko 20% vs Hrabskyi 40%
Hrabskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voronenko 50% vs Hrabskyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Voronenko -1 · Hrabskyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hrabskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrabskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoronenko 2.25 / Hrabskyi 1.57
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Hrabskyi)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13073061
Voronenko2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 65 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back17% 17 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 51
Hrabskyi1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 61 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it71% 47 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVoronenko3wins
AwayHrabskyi7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHrabskyi leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoronenko50%2 of 4
AwayHrabskyi83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voronenko4Hrabskyi6n = 10Hrabskyi took 6 of 10
S2Voronenko4Hrabskyi6n = 10Hrabskyi took 6 of 10
S3Voronenko3Hrabskyi7n = 10Hrabskyi took 7 of 10
S4Voronenko3Hrabskyi4n = 7Hrabskyi took 4 of 7
S5Voronenko1Hrabskyi2n = 3Hrabskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVoronenkoHrabskyiV − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.739.7−3.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoronenkoHrabskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime241 / 531 vs 218 / 49845.4%43.8%241 / 531 vs 218 / 498Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrabskyiVoronenko 2.25/Hrabskyi 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.1%
Hrabskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hrabskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 16:40V. Voronenko—881161A. Hrabskyi—11119113
LAug 24 · 10:40V. Voronenko—9870A. Hrabskyi—1111113
WAug 21 · 10:40V. Voronenko—111275113A. Hrabskyi—710111142
LAug 17 · 10:40V. Voronenko—11114572A. Hrabskyi—581111113
WAug 14 · 16:40V. Voronenko—111112123A. Hrabskyi—4414101
LAug 10 · 14:40V. Voronenko—8780A. Hrabskyi—1111113
LAug 7 · 10:40V. Voronenko—118981A. Hrabskyi—71111113
LAug 3 · 10:40V. Voronenko—78100A. Hrabskyi—1111123
LJul 27 · 10:40V. Voronenko—961611112A. Hrabskyi—1111149133
WJul 24 · 10:40V. Voronenko—71312113A. Hrabskyi—11111041
V. Voronenko10
LSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.25811441V. Marushchak1.5711911113WSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113LSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123LAug 31 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.25881161A. Hrabskyi1.5711119113LAug 31 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.2513411512V. Marushchak1.571111411113WAug 31 · 13:40V. Voronenko3.251511113A. Yurkov1.3313670WAug 31 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.1041112113A. Lievshin1.671171091WAug 31 · 10:40V. Voronenko1.731711113P. Plakushchyi2.0015940WAug 28 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.50518711113V. Marushchak1.50111611852
A. Hrabskyi10
WSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060WSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100LSep 4 · 13:10A. Hrabskyi1.9185110V. Marushchak1.801111133LSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123LSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113WSep 2 · 10:50V. Marushchak1.80111311982A. Hrabskyi1.91915811113LSep 2 · 08:50Y. Shmyndra1.809111211113A. Hrabskyi1.91114101392LSep 1 · 18:00A. Hrabskyi1.911071241V. Marushchak1.80121110113LSep 1 · 16:30A. Hrabskyi1.839101161Y. Shmyndra1.8311127113WAug 31 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.25881161A. Hrabskyi1.5711119113
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