TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061395
Played Sep 2Finished
Vitalii S Marushchak
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191315118911811
Andrii Hrabskyi
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:53 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeVitalii S Marushchak to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingVitalii S Marushchak above · Andrii Hrabskyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 106 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Vitalii S Marushchak at 55.3%
106 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii S Marushchak 27–35 Andrii Hrabskyi Vitalii S Marushchak has won 27 of their 62 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:53What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Marushchak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-35 in 62
Hrabskyi
Correct
gap of 8 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marushchak 1706 vs Hrabskyi 1609
Marushchak
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marushchak 60% vs Hrabskyi 20%
Marushchak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marushchak 50% vs Hrabskyi 20%
Marushchak
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Marushchak -1 · Hrabskyi -3
Hrabskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Marushchak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrabskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarushchak 1.80 / Hrabskyi 1.91
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Marushchak)+3.8pp
Setka Cup · #13061395
Marushchak1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 70 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it100% 40 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it81% 54 of 67
Hrabskyi1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 116 of 281
Down 0–1, comes back26% 42 of 165
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMarushchak4wins
AwayHrabskyi6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHrabskyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarushchak75%3 of 4
AwayHrabskyi83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marushchak4Hrabskyi6n = 10Hrabskyi took 6 of 10
S2Marushchak5Hrabskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Marushchak6Hrabskyi4n = 10Marushchak took 6 of 10
S4Marushchak5Hrabskyi3n = 8Marushchak took 5 of 8
S5Marushchak0Hrabskyi3n = 3Hrabskyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMarushchakHrabskyiM − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.537.8−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarushchakHrabskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime297 / 630 vs 215 / 49247.1%43.7%297 / 630 vs 215 / 492Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarushchakMarushchak 1.80/Hrabskyi 1.91
Miss
What we said
55.3%
Marushchak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hrabskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 13:10V. Marushchak—91111143A. Hrabskyi—1125121
WAug 25 · 18:00V. Marushchak—11118113A. Hrabskyi—961151
LAug 24 · 17:10V. Marushchak—54110A. Hrabskyi—1111133
WAug 21 · 14:40V. Marushchak—1111113A. Hrabskyi—7470
WAug 18 · 17:00V. Marushchak—11811113A. Hrabskyi—611871
LAug 17 · 17:10V. Marushchak—91412982A. Hrabskyi—11121011113
LAug 11 · 14:00V. Marushchak—87111162A. Hrabskyi—111179113
LAug 10 · 17:10V. Marushchak—89111142A. Hrabskyi—111158113
LAug 7 · 17:10V. Marushchak—212881A. Hrabskyi—111011113
LAug 5 · 11:20V. Marushchak—114661A. Hrabskyi—61111113
V. Marushchak10
LSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113WSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.25811441V. Marushchak1.5711911113WSep 4 · 14:10V. Marushchak1.7311118113A. Lievshin2.00821161WSep 4 · 13:10A. Hrabskyi1.9185110V. Marushchak1.801111133WSep 4 · 11:40V. Marushchak1.571111113V. Savoliuk2.259750LSep 2 · 11:50Y. Shmyndra2.2511119113V. Marushchak1.57581191LSep 2 · 09:50V. Marushchak1.918460A. Yurkov1.801111113WSep 2 · 08:20V. Marushchak2.001111811113O. Seliuchenko1.7313911682WSep 2 · 06:20V. Marushchak1.671211711123A. Lievshin2.101013118102WSep 1 · 18:00A. Hrabskyi1.911071241V. Marushchak1.80121110113
A. Hrabskyi10
WSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060WSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100LSep 4 · 13:10A. Hrabskyi1.9185110V. Marushchak1.801111133LSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123LSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113LSep 2 · 08:50Y. Shmyndra1.809111211113A. Hrabskyi1.91114101392LSep 1 · 18:00A. Hrabskyi1.911071241V. Marushchak1.80121110113LSep 1 · 16:30A. Hrabskyi1.839101161Y. Shmyndra1.8311127113WSep 1 · 15:00A. Hrabskyi1.911191111123A. Yurkov1.80911813102
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