TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073482
Played Sep 4Finished
Andrii Hrabskyi
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11616141210––––
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:08 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Hrabskyi above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 69 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 55.8%
69 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Hrabskyi 42–49 Artem Yurkov Andrii Hrabskyi has won 42 of their 91 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:08What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Yurkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-49 in 91
Yurkov
Wrong
gap of 7 in 91, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabskyi 1592 vs Yurkov 1674
Yurkov
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabskyi 20% vs Yurkov 80%
Yurkov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabskyi 20% vs Yurkov 60%
Yurkov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabskyi -3 · Yurkov +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Yurkov) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabskyi 2.10 / Yurkov 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Yurkov)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13073482
Hrabskyi2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 117 of 284
Down 0–1, comes back26% 43 of 167
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 87
Yurkov1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 210 of 357
Up 2–0, closes it92% 83 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it73% 138 of 189
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrabskyi5wins
AwayYurkov5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabskyi42.9%3 of 7
AwayYurkov33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabskyi7Yurkov3n = 10Hrabskyi took 7 of 10
S2Hrabskyi7Yurkov3n = 10Hrabskyi took 7 of 10
S3Hrabskyi1Yurkov9n = 10Yurkov took 9 of 10
S4Hrabskyi7Yurkov3n = 10Hrabskyi took 7 of 10
S5Hrabskyi2Yurkov4n = 6Yurkov took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrabskyiYurkovH − YBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.442.7+2.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabskyiYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 496 vs 590 / 98743.6%59.8%216 / 496 vs 590 / 987Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.940.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovHrabskyi 2.10/Yurkov 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hrabskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 07:50A. Hrabskyi—11119113A. Yurkov—891181
WAug 25 · 15:00A. Hrabskyi—11111110113A. Yurkov—13581232
LAug 24 · 16:10A. Hrabskyi—128711112A. Yurkov—1011114133
WAug 19 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi—11118113A. Yurkov—651181
LAug 17 · 16:10A. Hrabskyi—11169782A. Yurkov—6141111113
WAug 14 · 10:40A. Hrabskyi—111111113A. Yurkov—681381
WAug 12 · 11:20A. Hrabskyi—811911113A. Yurkov—11711392
LAug 11 · 16:00A. Hrabskyi—113711102A. Yurkov—911119123
LAug 10 · 16:10A. Hrabskyi—911851A. Yurkov—11711113
LAug 7 · 16:10A. Hrabskyi—11991182A. Yurkov—811119113
A. Hrabskyi10
WSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060LSep 4 · 13:10A. Hrabskyi1.9185110V. Marushchak1.801111133LSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123LSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113WSep 2 · 10:50V. Marushchak1.80111311982A. Hrabskyi1.91915811113LSep 2 · 08:50Y. Shmyndra1.809111211113A. Hrabskyi1.91114101392LSep 1 · 18:00A. Hrabskyi1.911071241V. Marushchak1.80121110113LSep 1 · 16:30A. Hrabskyi1.839101161Y. Shmyndra1.8311127113WSep 1 · 15:00A. Hrabskyi1.911191111123A. Yurkov1.80911813102
A. Yurkov10
WSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113LSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861WSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113WSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123WSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 11:20A. Lievshin1.8011611113A. Yurkov1.91711961WSep 2 · 09:50V. Marushchak1.918460A. Yurkov1.801111113WSep 2 · 05:50Y. Shmyndra1.804540A. Yurkov1.911111113LSep 1 · 19:00A. Yurkov2.00711241A. Lievshin1.7311911113LSep 1 · 15:00A. Hrabskyi1.911191111123A. Yurkov1.80911813102
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