TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060640
Played Sep 2Finished
Anatolii Lievshin
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117611119116––
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Lievshin above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 72 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 54.5%
72 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Lievshin 9–7 Artem Yurkov Artem Yurkov has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:04What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Lievshin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Lievshin
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lievshin 1656 vs Yurkov 1652
Lievshin
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lievshin 80% vs Yurkov 60%
Lievshin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lievshin 50% vs Yurkov 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lievshin +2 · Yurkov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lievshin) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lievshin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLievshin 1.80 / Yurkov 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lievshin)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13060640
Lievshin1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 109 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it93% 53 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it81% 86 of 106
Yurkov1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 36 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back29% 13 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLievshin6wins
AwayYurkov4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLievshin leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLievshin100%4 of 4
AwayYurkov66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lievshin4Yurkov6n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S2Lievshin5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S3Lievshin5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S4Lievshin8Yurkov0n = 8Lievshin took 8 of 8
S5Lievshin2Yurkov3n = 5Yurkov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLievshinYurkovL − YBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.637.3+5.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLievshinYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 290 vs 594 / 99355.9%59.8%162 / 290 vs 594 / 993Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.640.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinLievshin 1.80/Yurkov 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lievshin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 11:20A. Lievshin—11116113A. Yurkov—671171
WAug 25 · 19:00A. Lievshin—145711123A. Yurkov—1211117102
LAug 24 · 17:40A. Lievshin—7111011112A. Yurkov—115124133
WAug 21 · 17:40A. Lievshin—9111211113A. Yurkov—111310782
LAug 19 · 06:50A. Lievshin—981111112A. Yurkov—111174133
WAug 18 · 16:30A. Lievshin—1111113A. Yurkov—5830
LAug 17 · 17:40A. Lievshin—81181172A. Yurkov—116112113
WAug 14 · 16:10A. Lievshin—81115113A. Yurkov—1131361
WAug 12 · 12:50A. Lievshin—111011113A. Yurkov—712721
LAug 11 · 12:30A. Lievshin—7650A. Yurkov—1111113
A. Lievshin10
LSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961WSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:10V. Marushchak1.7311118113A. Lievshin2.00821161WSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113WSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123WSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113WSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113WSep 2 · 07:20Y. Shmyndra1.73811561A. Lievshin2.0011511113LSep 2 · 06:20V. Marushchak1.671211711123A. Lievshin2.101013118102WSep 1 · 19:00A. Yurkov2.00711241A. Lievshin1.7311911113
A. Yurkov10
WSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113LSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100WSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113WSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123WSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113WSep 2 · 09:50V. Marushchak1.918460A. Yurkov1.801111113WSep 2 · 05:50Y. Shmyndra1.804540A. Yurkov1.911111113LSep 1 · 19:00A. Yurkov2.00711241A. Lievshin1.7311911113WSep 1 · 17:00V. Marushchak2.0011611972A. Yurkov1.73811411113
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