TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060653
Played Sep 2Finished
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911711116711––
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Seliuchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Seliuchenko above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 73 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Seliuchenko at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Seliuchenko 8–13 Artem Yurkov Oleksandr Seliuchenko has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:03What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Yurkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-13 in 21
Yurkov
Correct
gap of 5 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Seliuchenko 1712 vs Yurkov 1646
Seliuchenko
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Seliuchenko 0% vs Yurkov 60%
Yurkov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Seliuchenko 50% vs Yurkov 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Seliuchenko -5 · Yurkov -1
Seliuchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Seliuchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seliuchenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeliuchenko 1.91 / Yurkov 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Seliuchenko)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13060653
Seliuchenko1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog61% won 54 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back43% 18 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back19% 4 of 21
Yurkov1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 210 of 358
Up 2–0, closes it92% 82 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it73% 138 of 190
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSeliuchenko5wins
AwayYurkov5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeliuchenko50%2 of 4
AwayYurkov50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Seliuchenko4Yurkov6n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S2Seliuchenko6Yurkov4n = 10Seliuchenko took 6 of 10
S3Seliuchenko6Yurkov4n = 10Seliuchenko took 6 of 10
S4Seliuchenko3Yurkov5n = 8Yurkov took 5 of 8
S5Seliuchenko2Yurkov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSeliuchenkoYurkovS − YBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.440.2−0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeliuchenkoYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 293 vs 595 / 99560.1%59.8%176 / 293 vs 595 / 995Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeliuchenkoSeliuchenko 1.91/Yurkov 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Seliuchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Yurkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 14:00O. Seliuchenko—71113123A. Yurkov—11711101
WAug 19 · 07:50O. Seliuchenko—1171311123A. Yurkov—811157102
LAug 18 · 12:00O. Seliuchenko—9830A. Yurkov—1111113
WAug 12 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko—81111123A. Yurkov—1199101
LAug 5 · 08:20O. Seliuchenko—7114101A. Yurkov—11911123
WAug 4 · 12:30O. Seliuchenko—1111113A. Yurkov—9940
WJul 31 · 12:40O. Seliuchenko—911118113A. Yurkov—11671142
LJul 22 · 12:50O. Seliuchenko—11711692A. Yurkov—911711113
LJul 21 · 12:30O. Seliuchenko—11113842A. Yurkov—671111113
LJul 17 · 14:10O. Seliuchenko—1191181A. Yurkov—13116113
O. Seliuchenko10
LSep 2 · 10:20Y. Shmyndra1.831111113O. Seliuchenko1.837410LSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113LSep 2 · 08:20V. Marushchak2.001111811113O. Seliuchenko1.7313911682LSep 1 · 18:30Y. Shmyndra2.001111113O. Seliuchenko1.734390LSep 1 · 17:30A. Lievshin2.001114113O. Seliuchenko1.7351270WSep 1 · 16:00V. Marushchak1.832690O. Seliuchenko1.831111113WSep 1 · 14:00A. Yurkov1.831011121172O. Seliuchenko1.83128146113WSep 1 · 12:00A. Hrabskyi2.0061311692O. Seliuchenko1.731111911113WAug 28 · 17:10P. Plakushchyi2.0011581152O. Seliuchenko1.73511117113WAug 28 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.831291151O. Seliuchenko1.8314118113
A. Yurkov10
WSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113LSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100WSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113WSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123LSep 2 · 11:20A. Lievshin1.8011611113A. Yurkov1.91711961WSep 2 · 09:50V. Marushchak1.918460A. Yurkov1.801111113WSep 2 · 05:50Y. Shmyndra1.804540A. Yurkov1.911111113LSep 1 · 19:00A. Yurkov2.00711241A. Lievshin1.7311911113LSep 1 · 14:00A. Yurkov1.831011121172O. Seliuchenko1.83128146113
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