TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031394
Played Aug 28Finished
Anatolii Lievshin
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1214911118511––
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Seliuchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Lievshin above · Oleksandr Seliuchenko below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 81 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Oleksandr Seliuchenko at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Lievshin 6–7 Oleksandr Seliuchenko Anatolii Lievshin has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:07What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Seliuchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lievshin 1694 vs Seliuchenko 1767
Seliuchenko
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lievshin 40% vs Seliuchenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lievshin 50% vs Seliuchenko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lievshin +1 · Seliuchenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Seliuchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seliuchenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLievshin 1.83 / Seliuchenko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Seliuchenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13031394
Lievshin1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Seliuchenko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLievshin4wins
AwaySeliuchenko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSeliuchenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLievshin75%3 of 4
AwaySeliuchenko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lievshin4Seliuchenko6n = 10Seliuchenko took 6 of 10
S2Lievshin3Seliuchenko7n = 10Seliuchenko took 7 of 10
S3Lievshin6Seliuchenko4n = 10Lievshin took 6 of 10
S4Lievshin2Seliuchenko3n = 5Seliuchenko took 3 of 5
S5Lievshin2Seliuchenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLievshinSeliuchenkoL − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.538.0−3.5per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLievshinSeliuchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 275 vs 171 / 28256.7%60.6%156 / 275 vs 171 / 282Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeliuchenkoLievshin 1.83/Seliuchenko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Seliuchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Seliuchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 17:30A. Lievshin—1414113O. Seliuchenko—121220
LAug 19 · 12:20A. Lievshin—6940O. Seliuchenko—1111113
LAug 18 · 18:30A. Lievshin—8590O. Seliuchenko—1111113
LAug 12 · 06:50A. Lievshin—114111032O. Seliuchenko—911912113
LAug 5 · 06:50A. Lievshin—12101171O. Seliuchenko—14123113
LAug 4 · 14:30A. Lievshin—71171192O. Seliuchenko—117115113
LJul 31 · 14:40A. Lievshin—4570O. Seliuchenko—1111113
WJul 28 · 17:30A. Lievshin—1112113O. Seliuchenko—71070
WJun 26 · 11:20A. Lievshin—661311123O. Seliuchenko—1111119102
WJun 18 · 21:20A. Lievshin—117113113O. Seliuchenko—71141192
A. Lievshin10
LSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961WSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:10V. Marushchak1.7311118113A. Lievshin2.00821161WSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113WSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123WSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113WSep 2 · 11:20A. Lievshin1.8011611113A. Yurkov1.91711961WSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113WSep 2 · 07:20Y. Shmyndra1.73811561A. Lievshin2.0011511113LSep 2 · 06:20V. Marushchak1.671211711123A. Lievshin2.101013118102
O. Seliuchenko10
LSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 10:20Y. Shmyndra1.831111113O. Seliuchenko1.837410LSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113LSep 2 · 08:20V. Marushchak2.001111811113O. Seliuchenko1.7313911682LSep 1 · 18:30Y. Shmyndra2.001111113O. Seliuchenko1.734390LSep 1 · 17:30A. Lievshin2.001114113O. Seliuchenko1.7351270WSep 1 · 16:00V. Marushchak1.832690O. Seliuchenko1.831111113WSep 1 · 14:00A. Yurkov1.831011121172O. Seliuchenko1.83128146113WSep 1 · 12:00A. Hrabskyi2.0061311692O. Seliuchenko1.731111911113WAug 28 · 17:10P. Plakushchyi2.0011581152O. Seliuchenko1.73511117113
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