TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060846
Played Sep 2Finished
Vitalii S Marushchak
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
121011137111181210
Anatolii Lievshin
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:05 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeVitalii S Marushchak to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingVitalii S Marushchak above · Anatolii Lievshin below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 105 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Vitalii S Marushchak at 58.2%
105 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii S Marushchak 9–4 Anatolii Lievshin Anatolii Lievshin has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:05What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Marushchak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Marushchak
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marushchak 1702 vs Lievshin 1638
Marushchak
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marushchak 40% vs Lievshin 60%
Lievshin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marushchak 60% vs Lievshin 40%
Marushchak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Marushchak +1 · Lievshin +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Marushchak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lievshin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarushchak 1.67 / Lievshin 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Marushchak)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13060846
Marushchak1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 70 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it100% 40 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it81% 54 of 67
Lievshin2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog54% won 51 of 95
Down 0–1, comes back24% 11 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMarushchak6wins
AwayLievshin4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMarushchak leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarushchak100%4 of 4
AwayLievshin66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marushchak4Lievshin6n = 10Lievshin took 6 of 10
S2Marushchak6Lievshin4n = 10Marushchak took 6 of 10
S3Marushchak6Lievshin4n = 10Marushchak took 6 of 10
S4Marushchak2Lievshin4n = 6Lievshin took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMarushchakLievshinM − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.735.70.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarushchakLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime295 / 627 vs 160 / 28747.1%55.8%295 / 627 vs 160 / 287Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarushchakMarushchak 1.67/Lievshin 2.10
Hit
What we said
58.2%
Marushchak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Marushchak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 14:10V. Marushchak—1111113A. Lievshin—7450
WAug 28 · 11:10V. Marushchak—11611113A. Lievshin—811861
WAug 25 · 12:30V. Marushchak—311129123A. Lievshin—1161011102
WAug 24 · 11:40V. Marushchak—9111411113A. Lievshin—115121372
LAug 21 · 15:40V. Marushchak—6880A. Lievshin—1111113
LAug 18 · 13:00V. Marushchak—10840A. Lievshin—1211113
WAug 17 · 11:40V. Marushchak—11114113A. Lievshin—651141
LAug 11 · 19:00V. Marushchak—711271A. Lievshin—11811113
WAug 7 · 11:40V. Marushchak—1116113A. Lievshin—91480
LAug 5 · 12:50V. Marushchak—1171441A. Lievshin—131112113
V. Marushchak10
LSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113WSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.25811441V. Marushchak1.5711911113WSep 4 · 14:10V. Marushchak1.7311118113A. Lievshin2.00821161WSep 4 · 13:10A. Hrabskyi1.9185110V. Marushchak1.801111133WSep 4 · 11:40V. Marushchak1.571111113V. Savoliuk2.259750LSep 2 · 11:50Y. Shmyndra2.2511119113V. Marushchak1.57581191LSep 2 · 10:50V. Marushchak1.80111311982A. Hrabskyi1.91915811113LSep 2 · 09:50V. Marushchak1.918460A. Yurkov1.801111113WSep 2 · 08:20V. Marushchak2.001111811113O. Seliuchenko1.7313911682WSep 1 · 18:00A. Hrabskyi1.911071241V. Marushchak1.80121110113
A. Lievshin10
LSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961WSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:10V. Marushchak1.7311118113A. Lievshin2.00821161WSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113WSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123WSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113WSep 2 · 11:20A. Lievshin1.8011611113A. Yurkov1.91711961WSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113WSep 2 · 07:20Y. Shmyndra1.73811561A. Lievshin2.0011511113WSep 1 · 19:00A. Yurkov2.00711241A. Lievshin1.7311911113
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