TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060592
Played Sep 2Finished
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113118411111––
Anatolii Lievshin
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Seliuchenko to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Seliuchenko above · Anatolii Lievshin below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 1-11
Point 70 set 4, 1-11 — our read held Oleksandr Seliuchenko at 54.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Seliuchenko 8–7 Anatolii Lievshin Anatolii Lievshin has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Seliuchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Seliuchenko 1764 vs Lievshin 1641
Seliuchenko
Wrong
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Seliuchenko 40% vs Lievshin 60%
Lievshin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Seliuchenko 50% vs Lievshin 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Seliuchenko -3 · Lievshin +1
Seliuchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Seliuchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seliuchenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeliuchenko 1.80 / Lievshin 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Seliuchenko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13060592
Seliuchenko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 82 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it75% 66 of 88
Lievshin1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 51 of 95
Down 0–1, comes back24% 11 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSeliuchenko7wins
AwayLievshin3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSeliuchenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeliuchenko100%6 of 6
AwayLievshin75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Seliuchenko6Lievshin4n = 10Seliuchenko took 6 of 10
S2Seliuchenko6Lievshin4n = 10Seliuchenko took 6 of 10
S3Seliuchenko4Lievshin6n = 10Lievshin took 6 of 10
S4Seliuchenko3Lievshin1n = 4Seliuchenko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSeliuchenkoLievshinS − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.432.7+2.7per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeliuchenkoLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 290 vs 161 / 28960.7%55.7%176 / 290 vs 161 / 289Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeliuchenkoSeliuchenko 1.80/Lievshin 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Seliuchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lievshin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 17:30O. Seliuchenko—51270A. Lievshin—1114113
WAug 28 · 16:10O. Seliuchenko—14118113A. Lievshin—1291151
LAug 25 · 17:30O. Seliuchenko—121220A. Lievshin—1414113
WAug 19 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko—1111113A. Lievshin—6940
WAug 18 · 18:30O. Seliuchenko—1111113A. Lievshin—8590
WAug 12 · 06:50O. Seliuchenko—911912113A. Lievshin—114111032
WAug 5 · 06:50O. Seliuchenko—14123113A. Lievshin—12101171
WAug 4 · 14:30O. Seliuchenko—117115113A. Lievshin—71171192
WJul 31 · 14:40O. Seliuchenko—1111113A. Lievshin—4570
LJul 28 · 17:30O. Seliuchenko—71070A. Lievshin—1112113
O. Seliuchenko10
LSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 10:20Y. Shmyndra1.831111113O. Seliuchenko1.837410LSep 2 · 08:20V. Marushchak2.001111811113O. Seliuchenko1.7313911682LSep 1 · 18:30Y. Shmyndra2.001111113O. Seliuchenko1.734390LSep 1 · 17:30A. Lievshin2.001114113O. Seliuchenko1.7351270WSep 1 · 16:00V. Marushchak1.832690O. Seliuchenko1.831111113WSep 1 · 14:00A. Yurkov1.831011121172O. Seliuchenko1.83128146113WSep 1 · 12:00A. Hrabskyi2.0061311692O. Seliuchenko1.731111911113WAug 28 · 17:10P. Plakushchyi2.0011581152O. Seliuchenko1.73511117113WAug 28 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.831291151O. Seliuchenko1.8314118113
A. Lievshin10
LSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961WSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:10V. Marushchak1.7311118113A. Lievshin2.00821161WSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113WSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123WSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113WSep 2 · 11:20A. Lievshin1.8011611113A. Yurkov1.91711961WSep 2 · 07:20Y. Shmyndra1.73811561A. Lievshin2.0011511113WSep 1 · 17:30A. Lievshin2.001114113O. Seliuchenko1.7351270LAug 28 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.831291151O. Seliuchenko1.8314118113
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