TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055154
Played Sep 1Finished
Vitalii S Marushchak
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211611911––––
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Seliuchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii S Marushchak above · Oleksandr Seliuchenko below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 50 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Seliuchenko at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii S Marushchak 9–7 Oleksandr Seliuchenko Oleksandr Seliuchenko has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:10What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Seliuchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Marushchak
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marushchak 1716 vs Seliuchenko 1810
Seliuchenko
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marushchak 60% vs Seliuchenko 80%
Seliuchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marushchak 70% vs Seliuchenko 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Marushchak -1 · Seliuchenko +4
Seliuchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Seliuchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seliuchenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarushchak 1.83 / Seliuchenko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Seliuchenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13055154
Marushchak1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Seliuchenko1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMarushchak4wins
AwaySeliuchenko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSeliuchenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarushchak66.7%4 of 6
AwaySeliuchenko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marushchak6Seliuchenko4n = 10Marushchak took 6 of 10
S2Marushchak3Seliuchenko7n = 10Seliuchenko took 7 of 10
S3Marushchak6Seliuchenko4n = 10Marushchak took 6 of 10
S4Marushchak2Seliuchenko4n = 6Seliuchenko took 4 of 6
S5Marushchak1Seliuchenko2n = 3Seliuchenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMarushchakSeliuchenkoM − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.235.6−0.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarushchakSeliuchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime295 / 625 vs 175 / 28647.2%61.2%295 / 625 vs 175 / 286Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeliuchenkoMarushchak 1.83/Seliuchenko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Seliuchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Seliuchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 14:40V. Marushchak—1111113O. Seliuchenko—9730
WAug 25 · 16:00V. Marushchak—1310511113O. Seliuchenko—111211392
LAug 18 · 14:00V. Marushchak—1061191O. Seliuchenko—12117113
LAug 5 · 09:20V. Marushchak—8670O. Seliuchenko—1111113
WAug 4 · 17:44V. Marushchak—1111113O. Seliuchenko—7650
LAug 4 · 13:30V. Marushchak—61111972O. Seliuchenko—119111113
LJul 31 · 17:10V. Marushchak—117761O. Seliuchenko—91111113
LJul 28 · 18:30V. Marushchak—11711562O. Seliuchenko—911211113
LJul 21 · 16:00V. Marushchak—7860O. Seliuchenko—1111113
WJul 17 · 11:40V. Marushchak—111011113O. Seliuchenko—712991
V. Marushchak10
LSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113WSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.25811441V. Marushchak1.5711911113WSep 4 · 14:10V. Marushchak1.7311118113A. Lievshin2.00821161WSep 4 · 13:10A. Hrabskyi1.9185110V. Marushchak1.801111133WSep 4 · 11:40V. Marushchak1.571111113V. Savoliuk2.259750LSep 2 · 11:50Y. Shmyndra2.2511119113V. Marushchak1.57581191LSep 2 · 10:50V. Marushchak1.80111311982A. Hrabskyi1.91915811113LSep 2 · 09:50V. Marushchak1.918460A. Yurkov1.801111113WSep 2 · 08:20V. Marushchak2.001111811113O. Seliuchenko1.7313911682WSep 2 · 06:20V. Marushchak1.671211711123A. Lievshin2.101013118102
O. Seliuchenko10
LSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 10:20Y. Shmyndra1.831111113O. Seliuchenko1.837410LSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113LSep 2 · 08:20V. Marushchak2.001111811113O. Seliuchenko1.7313911682LSep 1 · 18:30Y. Shmyndra2.001111113O. Seliuchenko1.734390LSep 1 · 17:30A. Lievshin2.001114113O. Seliuchenko1.7351270WSep 1 · 14:00A. Yurkov1.831011121172O. Seliuchenko1.83128146113WSep 1 · 12:00A. Hrabskyi2.0061311692O. Seliuchenko1.731111911113WAug 28 · 17:10P. Plakushchyi2.0011581152O. Seliuchenko1.73511117113WAug 28 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.831291151O. Seliuchenko1.8314118113
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